BLS Analysis for November 2019

*Personal Note*

Coming from a Navy family (my father and I also served in the Navy), as I send out my monthly analysis, I want to take a minute to honor all of the WWII Pearl Harbor veterans (almost all have passed on by now)—one of whom was my grandfather, Jack Schuhmacher, a Chief Quartermaster aboard the USS Wasmuth, DD338, a minesweeper, which was anchored that day at Pearl City.  He survived the attack and the ensuing WWII to complete his 30-year naval career in 1955 as a Chief Warrant Officer.  I honor his memory and all those who lived through that day in Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, Sunday, December 7th, 1941, “a date which will live in infamy”.

For those of you who are interested, I can send you my grandfather’s firsthand account of what took place in Pearl Harbor, 78 years ago tomorrow.

Bob Marshall’s November 2019 BLS Analysis for Recruiters; 12/6/19

November BLS Preface

TBMG Coaching Updates and Product News:

FINAL DAY!

CyberWeek Event Offer


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The complete 43 session series
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Link to one specially selected Illuminati Call

This is one of our most requested hour-long guest presentations

It is included in the special $500 price

As happened last year, I have been asked by some of my coaching clients to make available one of my products at a discount during

the Black Friday-CyberWeek Event. 

I have decided to offer my audio tape series for $500 (regular price $1499)!
 
This is an update of my Audio Series which is based on “The Classics” tried and true methods to help ensure your success in this, or any, economy. 

These 43 sessions are not intended to be some sort of magic wand, just proven techniques and real solutions that really work in any economy!

The presentations include:
 
*Scintillating marketing presentations using the Feature-Accomplishment-Benefit (FAB) format;
*When to Stop Beating Dead Horses (Employers and Candidates);
*Techniques of the Superstars;
*The Concept of Inverted Cones – the natural progression to become a ‘Power Broker’;
*Sales Linkage – a quick way to make a non-adversarial presentation and to determine if objections are real or imagined;
*The Eight Point Candidate Prep;
*Planning & Organization, Part I & Part II
*Your Desk as a Manufacturing Plant;
…and 35 more…
 
This set is on 4 DVD discs, MP3 format, and included documents that are provided in both Adobe Acrobat & MS Word.


Contact us and we will ship this set the next day.
 
As always, I send my best,
 
Bob

Planning and Goal Setting for 2020 – The Series – Running Currently

Over the past few months in 2019, I have sent various series to my distribution list.  I have just finished with “The JO 2019” and before that “The Opportunity Cost in Not Quitting the Dead Horse Projects” and “Robocruiter & The Total Account Executive”.  These series are also available to order in booklet form.

My new series, entitled “Planning for Your Best Year Ever in 2020—the Atomic Approach” dovetails perfectly with the same presentation I just gave to the Top Echelon group of recruiters.  This series will be published in the following several Tuesdays and emailed to my distribution list members.

Here are the titles of the seven parts (plus Intro) and their release dates:

Tuesday, November 12 – Intro – The Atomic Approach

Tuesday, November 19 – Part One – The Planning Overview

Tuesday, November 26 – Part Two – The Yearly Planning Worksheet

Tuesday, December 3 – Part Three – The Quarterly Goal Sheets

Tuesday, December 10 – Part Four – The 100 Point Sheet

Tuesday, December 17 – Part Five – Advice from the UK

Tuesday, December 24 – Part Six – S.M.A.R.T. goal setting and The Yearly 6 Essentials

Tuesday, December 31 – Part Seven – Revisiting the 6 Essentials

Top Echelon, Tuesday Recruiter Coaching Series, Webinar, March 10th, 2020

My next Top Echelon webinar will be on Tuesday afternoon, March 10th, 2020, at 1pm, Eastern Time.  This Recruiter Coaching Series will be for TE members.  The exact title and description of this presentation will be announced at a later date.

 Booklets Offer

Available for $20 each

Booklet #1

“Robocruiter and The Total Account Executive” – The Booklet

Booklet #2

 “The Opportunity Cost in Not Quitting the Dead Horse Projects” – The Booklet

Booklet #3

 “The JOB ORDER 2019” – The Booklet

WHY A COACH?

In the opinion of ex-Dallas Cowboys football coach Tom Landry who coached from 1960-1988, “A coach is someone who tells you what you don’t want to hear, who has you see what you don’t want to see, so you can be who you have always known you could be.”

Is now the time to pick a Coach?

I realize that taking that first step to engage a Coach to help you reach a higher level of production is not as easy as it sounds.  After all, your training investment – and your time – are important and deserve every consideration.  I share your feelings.  I believe that how you approach your recruitment career matters…that you should get what you pay for, and then some…that you should enjoy your time with your Coach as you are benefiting from it…and that you should never settle for the ordinary.

So, for those of you who have been toying with the idea of working with a recruitment coach, now may be the time.  Only you can come to that decision point.

“Teachers open the door; but you must enter by yourself”—Chinese Proverb

When considering ‘individual change management’, consider this theosophical proverb: When the student is ready, the teacher will appear!”

“Bob Marshall is a speaker’s speaker and a trainer’s trainer.  He has a gift for taking the cornerstones of the business and compelling people and teams to not only hone their skills but to execute. We’ve had Bob engage our teams a number of times over the last few years and our groups always come away more focused on the core and more energized to perform. Come ready to learn because this man knows the business and will make you better!”

—David Alexander, President, Adecco & Soliant, January 2017

Preface

Many of you continue to correspond with me about these monthly BLS analyses and have asked if it is OK to use them in your presentations.  The answer is, of course, yes!  That is why I spend the time to assemble this information.  I would encourage any of you who have that desire to weave any of the information I have printed below into your presentations.  I write these analyses for the benefit of our recruitment industry in general and for the members of my distribution list in particular.  So use this info as you deem appropriate.

I also write these monthly BLS analyses to not only counterbalance the negative/incorrect press reporting of our general economic state but, more than that, to remind all of my recruitment readers that, at the level we work, there is no unemployment and so we must recruit to find the candidates our client companies so desperately need!

So, to my recruiter colleagues, get out there and do what your name implies…RECRUIT!  When your client companies have unique and difficult positions to fill, they need you.  When they are being picky, they need you.  When they are longing for more production from fewer employees, they need you.  Go fill those needs.  These should be the halcyon days in the recruitment arena!

Finally, always remember that we are not in an HR business, but in a ‘circumventing the time factor in the hiring sequence’ business—and adding value to our client companies.

Three-Fourths of US Companies Offer Year-End Bonuses; Nearly Half of Those Plan to Increase Them

Daily News, December 4, 2019

More than three-quarters of senior managers at US companies, 76%, report their company offers year-end bonuses, according to a survey released by global staffing firm Robert Half International.

Of those respondents, 48% plan to increase these incentives this year and another 48% plan to keep them the same.  Only 4% of executives anticipate reducing the amount given to employees.

In a separate survey of workers, 52% said they expect a bonus this year.

Among the 28 US cities included in the survey, Dallas, Miami and Houston have the largest number of organizations that offer year-end bonuses.  And Nashville, Austin, Denver and Minneapolis have the most managers who said their companies plan to increase bonuses this year.

Miami, San Diego and Los Angeles have the most workers who expect year-end bonuses. 

“While many organizations are upping the ante on benefits and perks to recruit and retain top talent, money still talks, especially if employers haven’t been able to offer salary raises,” said Paul McDonald, senior executive director of Robert Half.  “Giving cash rewards is one way that companies can recognize staff for their hard work over the past year and keep them motivated and loyal for months to come.”

A Robert Half blog post provides tips on awarding year-end bonuses.

The online surveys included responses from more than 2,800 senior managers at US companies with 20 or more employees and 2,800 adult workers employed in office environments in 28 major US cities.

Dick Morris:  America’s Gigantic Global Economic Victory

Western Journal, Op-Ed, December 3, 2019

Now, in 2019, the United States has won a worldwide economic victory, soundly defeating our foes in Beijing.

In the 1960s and 70s, we out-produced the stolid, hardworking, habituated Germans.  In the 80s and 90s, we out-strategized the planning mavens of Japan despite their discipline and focus.

Now, in the first two decades of this century, we have won the global game of economic chess we have been playing with the ruthless, vicious, tyrannical thugs who run China.

The stakes in our economic competition with Germany and Japan were global bragging rights.  But in the contest with China, the freedom of mankind is the issue.

The heavies on China’s politburo had envisioned a different ending to the economic challenge China presented.  Their strategy had been to use our own greed and materialism against us by dangling attractive, inexpensive products in front of our consumers with one hand while lending us the money to buy them with the other.

Like any savvy street drug pusher, they knew that we would become addicted and that “Made in China” would soon crowd out “Made in America” on our retail shelves.  The idea was to sell to us vastly more than they purchased from us and to finance the difference by lending us back our own money.

The underlying technology and product design would be ours — bought, copied, rented, or stolen by Beijing.

China sought to become our global supplier of products and toys on the one hand and our banker on the other.  Then, global hegemony would be within reach.  Every year, China sold our consumers $300 billion more than it bought from our producers.  The resulting trade deficit reached staggering proportions.

In the two decades since its admission to the World Trade Organization in 2001, China moved steadily toward its objective by illegally manipulating its currency to keep it undervalued (largely by buying our debt).  Its products forced ours off the world’s shop floors and retail spaces, and it used its access to its huge domestic market to entice U.S. companies to locate in China.

The price of admission was usually all their technology.  What U.S. technology they couldn’t buy, the rulers in Beijing stole by industrial hacking and large scale espionage.

Beijing was confident that the U.S. wouldn’t complain much or else it would face a drawdown of China’s U.S. financial holdings and a cutoff of credit.  In its 20 years of massive growth — dating from WTO membership — China became an exporting machine cornering markets throughout the world and racking up a huge trade surplus with greedy, thrifty, pampered U.S. consumers.

China only laughed when attacked by U.S. politicians of either party for currency manipulation, commercial espionage, predatory pricing, and monopolistic trade practices.  It knew, or thought it knew, that we had become too reliant on Chinese products to give them up.

Then came Donald Trump.  He called China’s bluff and imposed massive tariffs on its exports, brushing off the expected retaliation against our farm products and other exports.  With a 3:1 ratio of imports to exports, the Chinese had far more to lose from a tariff war than we did.

Beijing expected American consumers to stagger under the tariffs but few really did.  Most just changed their purchasing habits to other stores with goods from other countries or switched to those made at home.

Totally confounding the predictions of their experts, China found itself stagnating economically.  It could not replace U.S. markets with domestic outlets.  China had bet on exports to grow and never troubled to develop domestic markets despite its gargantuan size.  China could never replace our domestic market once tariffs had foreclosed it.  The U.S. easily found new suppliers.  But China could not find new purchasers as easily.

The U.S. soared to higher GDP levels each quarter.  Unemployment became a rarity.  U.S. retailers mapped out new sources of supply, and domestic production filled the void.

All the while, China sputtered.

Trump supplied what had been lacking: American will and resolve.

Most likely, Trump will force major concessions from Beijing on the import and export of goods and services.  He will likely be able to enforce a crackdown on currency speculation.

Will he also be able to rein in Chinese theft of our intellectual property?  The jury is still out. But he clearly has the leverage to do so.  And each month’s economic data only strengthens his hand.

Now, sensing Trump’s leverage over Beijing, the pro-democracy demonstrators in Hong Kong can demand what their predecessors in Tiananmen Square could not: Political reform.

Despite this colossal win, our victory over China is far from certain in the long run.  Beijing is raising the stakes from the global control of trade to the control our minds.  Through expropriation of American breakthroughs in Artificial Intelligence, combined with ruthless experimentation on human subjects, China is seeking to achieve control of the internet and of the human mind along with it.  It seeks to enforce global totalitarian rule by capturing our thinking process itself.

The threat is so audacious and blatant as to compel the most aggressive of responses.  Our battle over the old issues of trade and finance have left us in a good position to meet this challenge.

But meet it we must.

Upwork Ranks 100 Skills with Fastest Growth; ‘.NET Core’ Tops List

Daily News, November 19, 2019

The fastest-growing skill in the third quarter on Upwork Inc. was “.NET Core,” an open-source development platform maintained by Microsoft.  That’s according to a report released today by online staffing firm Upwork that lists the 100 skills with the fastest growth.  The second fastest-growing skill was TypeScript, an open source programming language developed by Microsoft.

Many of the skills were related to technology, but not all. Romance writing ranked No. 86.

Upwork’s report noted the average hourly rate for the top 100 skills in the third quarter was $43.72.  That’s higher than the $28 median hourly rate overall for freelancers providing skilled services.  And demand for the top 100 skills grew more than 45% year over year in the third quarter with the top 10 growing by more than 260%.

The Upwork 100 skills list is based on skills sought on the its online staffing platform.  The analysis to find the 100 fastest-growing skills starts by including only skills that have been in the top 500 in terms of freelancer billings over the past 4 complete quarters.  From that, the 100 fastest-growing skills are ranked based on year-over-year growth rates in freelancer billings for the third quarter of 2019.

Here’s the list of the top 100 skills:

The top 10 industries hiring the top 100 skills included:

For Employees Starting New Jobs, Tech is Top Tripping Point

Daily News, November 18, 2019

While nearly all companies have an onboarding process, that didn’t stop employees from experiencing difficulties when starting new jobs, according to a poll of 1,000 US office workers by Accountemps, a division of Robert Half International Inc.

Issues with technology not being set up were cited by 39% of respondents; it’s the area that drew the most concern.

In addition, 24% said necessary supplies weren’t provided, and 21% said they weren’t introduced to coworkers.

Other problems: 20% didn’t receive an overview of the company and its policies and 17% didn’t get a tour of the office.

Only 41% said they didn’t experience a mishap when starting a new job.

“In today’s market, where employees are in the driver’s seat, it’s especially important for companies to make a good first impression,” said Michael Steinitz, senior executive director for Accountemps.  “Managers need to pay attention to even the smallest details so new hires feel welcomed and empowered to start contributing right away.”

The difficulties occurred even though 95% of workers said their companies had an onboarding program in place and 79% cited the programs as very effective or somewhat effective.

Healthcare Hiring to Propel US Labor Market even in Case of Recession (CNN Business)

Daily News, November 18, 2019

Healthcare jobs will keep the US labor market growing even if there’s a recession, according to CNN Business.  The US population is aging and living longer, requiring more healthcare services.  And demand will continue despite talk of healthcare reform among some presidential candidates.  “I don’t worry about

[potential]

healthcare reform affecting hiring, which is mostly nurses and elderly care,” Glassdoor Chief Economist Andrew Chamberlain told CNN Business.

US Execs Less Optimistic for 2020; Talent Acquisition and Retention Top Challenges: Survey

Daily News, November 15, 2019

Executives are slightly less optimistic about the business climate in 2020 and concerned about talent acquisition, according to the Employer Associations of America’s 2018 National Business Trends Survey.

The majority of respondents, 52%, expect the economy in the next 12 months will stay the same, with only 12% saying the economy would improve and 36% stating that the economy will decline.  Numbers in these two areas have flipped from the last year’s survey, when 30% felt more confident that the economy would improve and only 12% felt there would be a decline.

The survey found 47% plan to hire permanent staff in 2020, down slightly from 54% in 2019’s survey.  Respondents did indicate 65% were hiring in part due to newly created jobs.  The majority, 83%, seem to be replacing employees due in part to voluntary turnover.  The increase in voluntary turnover makes talent acquisition more difficult and employers will need to offer more competitive wages and be more strategic when marketing for positions, according to the association.

Executives surveyed indicated the following as top challenges to their business in 2020:

1.  Talent acquisition

2.  Talent retention

3.  Ability to pay competitive wage/salaries

4.  Competition in general

5.  Ability to pay for benefit costs

In moving forward with their hiring practices, organizations said the top 5 most important factors prospective employees are looking for in 2020 are fairly similar to last year’s results:     

1.  Competitive pay: 81%

2.  Good work/life balance: 69%

3.  Opportunities for advancement: 56%

4.  Flexibility in work hours: 56%

5.  Competitive health benefits: 48%

A lack of qualified candidates was cited as the top reason why it has become more difficult to hire employees in their industries, cited by 66%, followed by “market competition/high demand” at 48% and “candidates want more pay than we can/will offer” at 43%.

“Given the feelings about the economy in the next 12 months, it seems that organizations are taking a more cautious approach to 2020,” said EAA Board of Directors Chair Mary Corrado.  “Despite reduced confidence in the economy, 49% of organizations surveyed still expect a slight increase in revenue for the coming year.  The talent shortage will remain a key factor in 2020.  Employers will need to implement innovative talent acquisition and retention strategies to meet their business results.”

The 2019 survey included 1,093 participating organizations throughout the US.

US Needs 62% More Cybersecurity Professionals

Daily News, November 11, 2019

The US cybersecurity workforce needs to grow by 62% to close the skills gap, according to research by (ISC)², a nonprofit membership association of cybersecurity professionals.

It estimates the US currently has 804,700 cybersecurity professionals, but the country needs 498,480 more.

“We’ve been evolving our research approach for 15 years to get to this point today, where we can confidently estimate the current workforce and better understand what it will take as an industry to add enough professionals to protect our critical assets,” said Wesley Simpson, COO at (ISC)².

Globally, the size of the cybersecurity workforce is 2,800,000, according to the Clearwater, Florida-based association.  However, the world needs 145% more, an increase of 4,070,000 cybersecurity professionals.

The average North American salary for cybersecurity professionals is $90,000; those holding security certifications have an average salary of $93,000 while those without earn $76,500 on average, according to the organization.

$18,100,000,000 Industry Next Year, with 3,400,000 Jobs to be Added by 2028:  Healthcare Staffing Summit

Daily News, November 7, 2019

Demand continues to grow for healthcare staffing, and the US will add 3,400,000 healthcare jobs between 2018 and 2028.  But as technology continues to rapidly change, the question is what will the resulting disruption look like?

Those were some of the topics addressed today during the opening keynote talk at Staffing Industry Analysts’ 17th annual Healthcare Staffing Summit in Las Vegas.  The keynote was delivered by SIA President Barry Asin along with Healthcare Analyst Amy Chang and Research Director Tony Gregoire.

Healthcare staffing revenue is expected to grow by 4% both this year and next, reaching $18,100,000,000 by 2020, according to SIA projections.

And the 3,400,000 jobs to be added by the “healthcare and social assistance” segment between 2018 and 2028 represents a large portion of the 8,400,000 total US jobs to be added during that time.

Home health aides will be the fastest-growing occupation between 2018 and 2028, growing by 38% followed by physician assistants at 33%.

However, the skills shortage in healthcare remains.  “It’s been here so long, it’s almost a part of the culture,” Gregoire said.

The physician shortage alone is expected to reach between 42,600 and 121,300 by 2030.

Tech disruption

However, one question is the impact of technological disruption in the industry, whether it be from online staffing firms offering healthcare or developments that impact the staffing ecosystem?

Investment in the HR tech space is ramping up with venture capitalist investment rising 35% so far this year compared to 2018.

Automation is another area that could have an impact on healthcare.

“I don’t think a robot will replace a surgeon,” Chang said.  But robots could increase speed and precision of surgeries, and robots could handle more delivery and repetitive tasks.  They are also adept at disinfecting.

Gregoire discussed blockchain, the distributed ledger technology, and the possible impact on credentialing.

Recession?

Aside from technological disruption, the question that people are asking is when can we expect a recession?

While a concern, a poll of economists by The Wall Street Journal found that 42.5% expect a recession in 2020 while a majority believe it will happen in 2021 or later.

Overall the healthcare staffing space is looking good and the future is bright.

“I just continue to feel very positive about this industry,” Chang said, citing the job growth and the industry’s dedication to serving clients and candidates.

The new ADP/Moody’s National Employment Report: 60% of all new job growth in November 2019 came from Small and Medium-size Companies!

December 4, 2019

Private sector employment increased by 67,000 jobs from October to November (a 54,000 job decrease from October’s downwardly ‘revised’ 121,000*), according to the November ADP National Employment Report®.  *The October total of jobs added was revised down from 125,000 to 121,000.

This report is produced by ADP® in collaboration with Moody’s Analytics.  The matched sample used to develop the ADP National Employment Report® was derived from ADP payroll data, which represents 411,000 U.S. clients employing nearly 24,000,000 workers in the U.S.

By Company Size

Small businesses:                  11,000

1-19 employees                   <-15,000>

20-49 employees                    25,000

Medium businesses:             29,000

50-499 employees                  29,000

Large businesses:                 27,000

500-999 employees                 13,000

1,000+ employees                   14,000

By Sector

I.  Goods-producing:                            <-18,000>

A.  Natural resources/mining                     <-6,000>

B.  Construction                                          <-6,000>

C.  Manufacturing                                       <-6,000>

II.  Service-providing:                             85,000

A.  Trade/transportation/utilities                <-15,000>

B.  Information                                            <-8,000>

C.  Financial activities                                               11,000

D.  Professional/business services                 28,000

                        1.  Professional/technical services                              16,000

                        2.  Management of companies/enterprises                     4,000

                        3.  Administrative/support services                               7,000

            E.  Education/health services                         39,000

                        1.  Health care/social assistance                                  36,000

                        2.  Education                                                                  3,000

            F.  Leisure/hospitality                                    18,000

            G.  Other services                                           12,000

Franchise Employment

Franchise Jobs                        24,600

“In November, the labor market showed signs of slowing,” said Ahu Yildirmaz, vice president and co-head of the ADP Research Institute.  “The goods producers still struggled; whereas, the service providers remained in positive territory driven by healthcare and professional services.  Job creation slowed across all company sizes; however, the pattern remained largely the same, as small companies continued to face more pressure than their larger competitors.”

Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, said, “The job market is losing its shine.  Manufacturers, commodity producers, and retailers are shedding jobs.  Job openings are declining and if job growth slows any further unemployment will increase.”

(The December 2019 ADP National Employment Report will be released at 8:15 a.m. ET on January 8, 2020.)

Due to the important contribution that small businesses make to economic growth, employment data that is specific to businesses with 49 or fewer employees is reported each month in the ADP Small Business Report®, a subset of the ADP National Employment Report.

November 2019 Small Business Report Highlights

Total Small Business Employment:             11,000 (a 6,000 decrease)

●By Size    
►1-19 employees   <-15,000>
►20-49 employees   25,000
     
●By Sector for 1-49 Employees    
►Goods Producing   <-7,000>
►Service Producing   18,000
     
●By Sector for 1-19 Employees    
►Goods Producing   <-6,000>
►Service Producing   <-9,000>
     
●By Sector for 20-49 Employees    
►Goods Producing   <-1,000>
►Service Producing   26,000

Bottom-line:  To my audience of recruiters, always remember this:  Our ‘bread and butter’, especially on the contingency side of the house, has historically been, and continues to be, small and medium-sized client companies.  Along with the large companies, these companies need to be in included in your niche!

Job Openings and Labor Turnover – September 2019

November 5, 2019Top of Form

The number of job openings edged down to 7,000,000 (-277,000) on the last business day of September, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.  Over the month, hires and separations were little changed at 5,900,000 and 5,800,000, respectively.  Within separations, the quits rate and the layoffs and discharges rate were little changed at 2.3% and 1.3%, respectively.  This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the nonfarm sector by industry and by 4 geographic regions.

Job Openings

On the last business day of September, the job openings level edged down to 7,000,000 (-277,000).  The job openings rate was 4.4%.  The number of job openings edged down for total private (-262,000) and was little changed for government.  The job openings level decreased in health care and social assistance (-124,000), retail trade (-102,000), and federal government (-19,000).  Job openings increased in information (+25,000).  The number of job openings decreased in the Northeast region.

Hires

The number of hires was little changed at 5,900,000 in September and the hires rate was unchanged at 3.9%.  The number of hires was little changed for total private and for government.  The hires level decreased in federal government (-30,000).  The number of hires was little changed in all 4 regions.

Separations

Total separations includes quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations.  Total separations is referred to as turnover.  Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee.  Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs.  Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer.  Other separations includes separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm.

The number of total separations was little changed at 5,800,000 in September and the rate was unchanged at 3.8%.  The number of total separations was little changed for total private and for government.  The total separations level was little changed in all industries and in all 4 regions.

The number of quits was little changed in September at 3,500,000 as was the rate at 2.3%.  The quits level was little changed for total private and for government.  Quits decreased in accommodation and food services (-74,000) and in real estate and rental and leasing (-19,000).  The number of quits decreased in the Northeast and South regions.

The number of layoffs and discharges edged up in September to 2,000,000 (+152,000).  The layoffs and discharges rate was 1.3%.  The layoffs and discharges level edged up for total private (+151,000) and was little changed for government.  The number of layoffs and discharges increased in accommodation and food services (+72,000) and in health care and social assistance (+42,000).  The layoffs and discharges level was little changed in all 4 regions.

The number of other separations was little changed in September.  The other separations level was also little changed for total private and for government.  Other separations increased in accommodation and food services (+15,000) and in nondurable goods manufacturing (+5,000).  The number of other separations was little changed in all 4 regions.

Net Change in Employment

Large numbers of hires and separations occur every month throughout the business cycle.  Net employment change results from the relationship between hires and separations.  When the number of hires exceeds the number of separations, employment rises, even if the hires level is steady or declining.  Conversely, when the number of hires is less than the number of separations, employment declines, even if the hires level is steady or rising.  Over the 12 months ending in September, hires totaled 69,900,000 and separations totaled 67,400,000, yielding a net employment gain of 2,500,000.  These totals include workers who may have been hired and separated more than once during the year.

____________

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey estimates for October 2019 are scheduled to be released on Tuesday, December 17, 2019 at 10:00 a.m. (EST).

 
 

As we recruiters know, that 7,000,000 number only represents 20% of the jobs currently available in the marketplace.  The other 80% of job openings are unpublished and are filled through networking or word of mouth or by using a RECRUITER.  So, those 7,000,000 published job openings now become a total of 35,000,000 published AND hidden job orders.

In November, there were 5,811,000 unemployed workers.  What was the main reason why those workers were unemployed?  Two Words:  Structural Unemployment.  If we can’t figure out how to educate and/or reeducate those 5,811,000 unemployed, then they will keep reappearing each month as a BLS unemployment statistic—as they have.  In the meantime, our recruitment marketplace continues to flourish!

Online Labor Demand Fell in October

November 6, 2019

*HWOL Index fell in October, following a small decrease in September

*Most States and Occupations declined

The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index fell in October and now stands at 100.5 (July 2018=100), down from 103.5 in September.  The Index declined 2.9% from the prior month and is down 1.4% from a year ago.  

In the Midwest, both Missouri and North Dakota decreased 3.8%.  In the Northeast, Connecticut fell 5.2% and Rhode Island decreased 4.3%.  In the South, Kentucky fell 5.2% and Delaware decreased 3.9%.  In the West, Washington declined 5.8% and Hawaii decreased 5.3%.

The Professional occupational category experienced declines in Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media (-4.6%), Architecture and engineering (-3.9%), and Healthcare practitioners and technical (-3.7%).  The Services/ Production occupational category experienced declines in Production (-4.4%) and Healthcare Support (-4.0%).

The Conference Board Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index measures changes over time in advertised online job vacancies, reflecting monthly trends in employment opportunities across the US.  The HWOL Data Series aggregates the total number of ads available by month from the HWOL universe of online job ads.  Ads in the HWOL universe are collected in real-time from over 28,000 different online job boards including traditional job boards, corporate boards, social media sites, and smaller job sites that serve niche markets and smaller geographic areas.

Like The Conference Board’s long-running Help Wanted Advertising Index of print ads (which was published for over 55 years and discontinued in July 2008), Help Wanted OnLine™ measures help wanted advertising, i.e. labor demand.  The HWOL Data Series began in May 2005 and was revised in December 2018 to reflect a new universe and methodology of online job advertisements and therefore cannot be used in conjunction with the pre-revised HWOL Data Series.  With the December 2018 release, The Conference Board released the experimental HWOL Index for the specific purpose of providing a robust time series for measuring changes in labor demand over time.  It improves upon the HWOL Data Series’ ability to assess local labor market trends by reducing volatility and non-economic noise and improving correlation with local labor market conditions.  Both the HWOL Data Series and the experimental HWOL Index begin in January 2012.

The next release is Wednesday, December 11, 2019 at 10 AM.

U-6 Update

In November 2019 the regular unemployment rate fell .1% to 3.5% and the broader U-6 measure also fell .1% to 6.9%.

The above 6.9% is referred to as the U-6 unemployment rate (found in the monthly BLS Employment Situation Summary, Table A-15; Table A-12 in 2008 and before).  It counts not only people without work seeking full-time employment (the more familiar U-3 rate), but also counts “marginally attached workers and those working part-time for economic reasons.”  Note that some of these part-time workers counted as employed by U-3 could be working as little as an hour a week.  And the “marginally attached workers” include those who have gotten discouraged and stopped looking, but still want to work.  The age considered for this calculation is 16 years and over.

Here is a look at the November U-6 numbers for the previous 16 years:

November 2018          7.6%

November 2017          8.0%

November 2016          9.3%

November 2015          9.9%

November 2014          11.4%

November 2013          13.1%

November 2012          14.4%

November 2011          15.6%

November 2010          17.0%

November 2009          17.2%

November 2008          12.6%

November 2007          8.4%

November 2006          8.0%

November 2005          8.7%

November 2004          9.4%

November 2003          10.1%

The November 2019 BLS Analysis

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 266,000 in November, and the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%.  Notable job gains occurred in health care and in professional and technical services.  Employment rose in manufacturing, reflecting the return of workers from a strike.
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September was revised up by 13,000 from +180,000 to +193,000, and the change for October was revised up by 28,000 from +128,000 to +156,000.  With these revisions, employment gains in September and October combined were 41,000 more than previously reported.  (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)  After revisions, job gains have averaged 205,000 per month over the last 3 months.

The unemployment rate is also published by the BLS.  That rate is found by dividing the number of unemployed by the total civilian labor force.  On December 6th, 2019, the BLS published the most recent unemployment rate for November 2019 of 3.5% (actually, it is 3.535% down by .027% from 3.562% in October 2019.

The unemployment rate was determined by dividing the unemployed of 5,811,000

(–down from the month before by 44,000—since November 2018 this number has decreased by 207,000) by the total civilian labor force of 164,404,000 (up by 40,000 from October 2019).  Since November 2018, our total civilian labor force has increased by 1,583,000 workers.

(The continuing ‘Strange BLS Math’ saga—after a detour in December 2016 when the BLS {for the first time in years} DECREASED the total Civilian Noninstitutional Population—this month the BLS again increased this total to 260,020,000.  This is an increase of 175,000 from last month’s increase of 207,000.  In one year, this population has increased by 1,312,000. For the last 3 years the Civilian Noninstitutional Population has increased each month—except in December 2016 & December 2018—by…)

Up from October 2019 by 175,000
Up from September 2019 by 207,000
Up from August 2019 by 206,000
Up from July 2019 by 207,000
Up from June 2019 by 188,000
Up from May 2019 by 176,000
Up from April 2019 by 168,000
Up from March 2019 by 156,000
Up from February 2019 by 145,000
Up from January 2019 by 153,000
Down from December 2018 by 649,000
Up from November 2018 by 180,000
Up from October 2018 by 194,000
Up from September 2018 by 224,000
Up from August 2018 by 224,000
Up from July 2018 by 223,000
Up from June 2018 by 201,000
Up from May 2018 by 188,000
Up from April 2018 by 182,000
Up from March 2018 by 175,000
Up from February 2018 by 163,000
Up from January 2018 by 154,000
Up from December 2017 by 671,000
Up from November 2017 by 160,000
Up from October 2017 by 183,000
Up from September 2017 by 204,000
Up from August 2017 by 205,000
Up from July 2017 by 206,000
Up from June 2017 by 194,000
Up from May 2017 by 173,000
Up from April 2017 by 179,000
Up from March 2017 by 174,000
Up from February 2017 by 168,000
Up from January 2017 by 164,000
Down from December 2016 by 660,000
Up from November 2016 by 202,000
Up from October 2016 by 219,000

This month the BLS has increased the Civilian Labor Force to 164,404,000 (up from October by 40,000).

Subtract the second number (‘civilian labor force’) from the first number (‘civilian noninstitutional population’) and you get 95,616,000 ‘Not in Labor Force’—up by 135,000 from last month’s 95,481,000.  In one year, this NILF population has decreased by 270,000.  The government tells us that most of these NILFs got discouraged and just gave up looking for a job.  My monthly recurring question is: “If that is the case, how do they survive when they don’t earn any money because they don’t have a job?  Are they ALL relying on the government to support them??”

This month, our Employment Participation Rate—the population 16 years and older working or seeking work—fell .1% to 63.2%.  This is .8% above the historically low rate of 62.4% recorded in September 2015—and, before that, the rate recorded in October 1977—9 months into Jimmy Carter’s presidency—almost 40 years ago!

Final take on these numbers:  Fewer people looking for work will always bring down the unemployment rate.

Anyway, back to the point I am trying to make.  On the surface, these new unemployment rates are scary, but let’s look a little deeper and consider some other numbers.

The unemployment rate includes all types of workers—construction workers, government workers, etc.  We recruiters, on the other hand, mainly place management, professional and related types of workers.  That unemployment rate in November was 1.8% (this rate was the same as last month’s 1.8%).  Or, you can look at it another way.  We usually place people who have college degrees.  That unemployment rate in November was2.0% (this rate was .1% lower than last month’s 2.1%).

Now stay with me a little longer.  This gets better.  It’s important to understand (and none of the pundits mention this) that the unemployment rate, for many reasons, will never be 0%, no matter how good the economy is.  Without boring you any more than I have already, let me add here that Milton Friedman (the renowned Nobel Prize-winning economist), is famous for the theory of the “natural rate of unemployment” (or the term he preferred, NAIRU, which is the acronym for Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment).  Basically, this theory states that full employment presupposes an ‘unavoidable and acceptable’ unemployment rate of somewhere between 4-6% with it.  Economists often settle on 5%, although the “New Normal Unemployment Rate” has been suggested to fall at 6.7%.

Nevertheless (if you will allow me to apply a ‘macro’ concept to a ‘micro’ issue), if this rate is applied to our main category of Management, Professional and Related types of potential recruits, and/or our other main category of College-Degreed potential recruits, we are well below the 4-6% threshold for full employment…we find no unemployment!  None!  Zilch!  A Big Goose Egg! 

THE IMPORTANCE OF GDP

“The economic goal of any nation, as of any individual, is to get the greatest results with the least effort.  The whole economic progress of mankind has consisted in getting more production with the same labor…Translated into national terms, this first principle means that our real objective is to maximize production.  In doing this, full employment—that is, the absence of involuntary idleness—becomes a necessary by-product.  But production is the end, employment merely the means.  We cannot continuously have the fullest production without full employment.  But we can very easily have full employment without full production.”

–Economics in One Lesson, by Henry Hazlitt, Chapter X, “The Fetish of Full Employment”

 
 
On November 27th, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) announced the real gross domestic product (GDP) -- the value of the goods and services produced by the nation’s economy less the value of the goods and services used up in production, adjusted for price changes – was revised upward to an annual rate of 2.1% in the third quarter of 2019, according to the "second" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.  An advance estimate of third-quarter GDP released last month indicated growth of 1.9%.  GDP had grown 2.0% in the second quarter and 3.1% in the first.
 

The GDP estimate is based on more complete source data than were available for the “advance” estimate issued last month.  With the second estimate for the third quarter, upward revisions to private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) were partially offset by a downward revision to state and local government spending.

The increase in real GDP in the third quarter reflected positive contributions from PCE, federal government spending, residential investment, private inventory investment, exports, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by a negative contribution from nonresidential fixed investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.

The acceleration in real GDP in the third quarter reflected upturns in private inventory investment, exports, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by decelerations in PCE, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, and a larger decrease in nonresidential fixed investment.

Updates to GDP

The upward revision to the percent change in real GDP in the third quarter reflected upward revisions to private inventory investment, nonresidential fixed investment, and PCE that were partly offset by a downward revision to state and local government spending.

Three Update Releases to GDP
 
BEA releases 3 vintages of the current quarterly estimate for GDP:  "Advance" estimates are released near the end of the first month following the end of the quarter and are based on source data that are incomplete or subject to further revision by the source agency; “second” and “third” estimates are released near the end of the second and third months, respectively, and are based on more detailed and more comprehensive data as they become available.
 

*          *          *

 
(GDP, Third Quarter 2019 “third estimate” will be released on December 20, 2019 
and the “advance estimate” for the fourth quarter will be released January 30, 2020)
 
 

IT IS IMPOSSIBLE FOR UNEMPLOYMENT EVER TO BE ZERO

‘Unemployment’ is an emotional ‘trigger’ word…a ‘third rail’, if you will.  It conjures up negative thoughts.  But it is important to realize that, while we want everyone who wants a job to have the opportunity to work, unemployment can never be zero and, in fact, can be disruptive to an economy if it gets too close to zero.  Very low unemployment can actually hurt the economy by creating an upward pressure on wages which invariably leads to higher production costs and prices.  This can lead to inflation.  The lowest the unemployment rate has been in the US was 2.5%.  That was in May and June 1953 when the economy overheated due to the Korean War.  When this bubble burst, it kicked off the Recession of 1953.  A healthy economy will always include some percentage of unemployment.

There are five main sources of unemployment:

1.  Cyclical (or demand-deficient) unemployment – This type of unemployment fluctuates with the business cycle.  It rises during a recession and falls during the subsequent recovery.  Workers who are most affected by this type of unemployment are laid off during a recession when production volumes fall, and companies use lay-offs as the easiest way to reduce costs.  These workers are usually rehired, some months later, when the economy improves.

2.  Frictional unemployment – This comes from the normal turnover in the labor force.  This is where new workers are entering the workforce and older workers are retiring and leaving vacancies to be filled by the new workers or those re-entering the workforce.  This category includes workers who are between jobs.

3.  Structural unemployment – This happens when the skills possessed by the unemployed worker don’t match the requirements of the opening—whether those be in characteristics and skills or in location.  This can come from new technology or foreign competition (e.g., foreign outsourcing).  This type of unemployment usually lasts longer than frictional unemployment because retraining, and sometimes relocation, is involved.  Occasionally jobs in this category can just disappear overseas.

4.  Seasonal unemployment – This happens when the workforce is affected by the climate or time of year.  Construction workers and agricultural workers aren’t needed as much during the winter season because of the inclement weather.  On the other hand, retail workers experience an increase in hiring shortly before, and during, the holiday season, but can be laid off shortly thereafter.

5.  Surplus unemployment – This is caused by minimum wage laws and unions.  When wages are set at a higher level, unemployment can often result.  Why?  To keep within the same payroll budget, the company must let go of some workers to pay the remaining workers a higher salary.

Other factors influencing the unemployment rate:

1.  Length of unemployment – Some studies indicate that an important factor influencing a worker’s decision to accept a new job is directly related to the length of the unemployment benefit they are receiving.  Currently, in 2019, workers in most states are eligible for up to 26 weeks of benefits from the regular state-funded unemployment compensation program.  One state (MT) offers more and ten states offer less.  Studies suggest that additional weeks of benefits reduce the incentive of the unemployed to seek and accept less-desirable jobs.

2.  Changes in GDP – Since hiring workers takes time, the improvement in the unemployment rate usually lags the improvement in the GDP.

WHERE RECRUITERS PLACE

Now back to the issue at hand, namely the recruiting, and placing, of professionals and those with college degrees.

If you look at the past 19 years of unemployment in the November “management, professional and related” types of worker category, you will find the following rates:

November 2018          2.1%

November 2017          2.0%

November 2016          2.3%

November 2015          2.1%

November 2014          2.8%

November 2013          3.1%

November 2012          3.6%

November 2011          4.2%

November 2010          4.7%

November 2009          4.6%

November 2008          3.2%

November 2007          1.8%

November 2006          1.7%

November 2005          2.1%

November 2004          2.4%

November 2003          2.9%

November 2002          2.9%

November 2001          2.8%

November 2000          1.7%

Here are the rates, during those same time periods, for “college-degreed” workers:

November 2018          2.2%

November 2017          2.1%

November 2016          2.3%

November 2015          2.5%

November 2014          3.2%

November 2013          3.4%

November 2012          3.9%

November 2011          4.4%

November 2010          5.1%

November 2009          4.9%

November 2008          3.2%

November 2007          2.2%

November 2006          1.9%

November 2005          2.2%

November 2004          2.5%

November 2003          3.1%

November 2002          2.9%

November 2001          2.9%

November 2000          1.6%

The November 2019 rates for these two categories, 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, are very low again this month and are at, or close to, the halcyon numbers we attained in 2017-2018 and in the 2000 & 2005-2007 time frames.  But regardless, these unemployment numbers usually include a good number of job hoppers, job shoppers and rejects.  We, on the other hand, are engaged by our client companies to find those candidates who are happy, well-appreciated, making good money and currently working and we entice them to move for even better opportunities—especially where new technologies are expanding.  This will never change.  And that is why, no matter the overall unemployment rate, we still need to MARKET to find the best possible job orders to work and we still need to RECRUIT to find the best possible candidates for those Job Orders.

Below are the numbers for the over 25-year old’s:

Less than H.S. diploma – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
7.7% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 9.8% 10.4% 10.6% 10.9%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
12.0% 12.6% 13.3% 14.8% 15.5% 15.5% 15.4% 15.6% 15.0% 15.5% 15.0% 15.3%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
15.2% 15.6% 14.5% 14.7% 15.0% 14.1% 13.8% 14.0% 15.4% 15.3% 15.7% 15.3%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
14.2% 13.9% 13.7% 14.6% 14.7% 14.3% 15.0% 14.3% 14.0% 13.8% 13.2% 13.8%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
13.1% 12.9% 12.6% 12.5% 13.0% 12.6% 12.7% 12.0% 11.3% 12.2% 12.2% 11.7%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
12.0% 11.2% 11.1% 11.6% 11.1% 10.7% 11.0% 11.3% 10.3% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 7.9% 8.5% 8.8%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
8.5% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.2% 8.3% 7.7% 7.7% 7.3% 6.8% 6.7%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
7.4% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 7.1% 7.5% 6.3% 7.2% 8.5% 7.3% 7.9% 7.9%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
7.3% 7.9% 6.8% 6.5% 6.1% 6.4% 6.9% 6.0% 6.5% 5.7% 5.2% 6.3%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
5.4% 5.7% 5.5% 5.9% 5.4% 5.5% 5.1% 5.7% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 5.8%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.4% 4.8% 5.6% 5.3%  

H.S. Grad; no college – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
4.6% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.8% 6.3% 6.5% 6.9% 7.7%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
8.1% 8.3% 9.0% 9.3% 10.0% 9.8% 9.4% 9.7% 10.8% 11.2% 10.4% 10.5%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
10.1% 10.5% 10.8% 10.6% 10.9% 10.8% 10.1% 10.3% 10.0% 10.1% 10.0% 9.8%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.7% 9.5% 10.0% 9.3% 9.6% 9.7% 9.6% 8.8% 8.7%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
8.4% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.4% 8.1% 8.0%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
8.1% 7.9% 7.6% 7.4% 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.3% 7.3% 7.1%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.8% 6.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.7% 5.6% 5.3%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
5.4% 5.4% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3% 5.3% 5.4% 5.6%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
5.3% 5.3% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 5.5% 4.9% 5.1%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
5.2% 5.0% 4.9% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.5% 5.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 3.5% 3.8%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.5% 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3.7%  

Some College; or AA/AS – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
3.7% 3.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 5.6%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 9.0% 9.0% 9.0%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
8.5% 8.0% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.7% 8.1%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
8.0% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.0% 8.4% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.3% 7.6% 7.7%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
7.2% 7.3% 7.5% 7.6% 7.9% 7.5% 7.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% 6.6% 6.9%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.5% 6.4% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.4% 5.4% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
5.2% 5.1% 4.8% 4.7% 4.4% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.1%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.9% 3.8%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
3.8% 4.0% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 3.7% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.1% 3.3%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
3.4% 3.2% 3.4% 3.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%  

BS/BS + – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
3.9% 4.1% 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.7% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 5.0%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
4.8% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.4% 4.5% 4.6% 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 4.8%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
4.2% 4.3% 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 3.5% 3.7% 3.8% 3.4% 3.3%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
3.3% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.1% 3.2% 2.8%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
2.8% 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.5% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0%  

Management, Professional & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 5.4% 5.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4.6%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
5.0% 4.8% 4.7% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 5.1% 4.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.6%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
4.7% 4.4% 4.3% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 4.9% 4.4% 4.4% 4.2% 4.2%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.3% 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 4.8% 4.5% 3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 3.9%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.1% 3.8% 3.5% 3.4% 3.1% 2.9%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.9% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 2.8% 2.7% 2.8% 2.7%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
2.9% 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.2% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8%  

Or employed…(,000)

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
52,165 52,498 52,681 52,819 52,544 52,735 52,655 52,626 53,104 53,485 53,274 52,548
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
52,358 52,196 52,345 52,597 52,256 51,776 51,810 51,724 52,186 52,981 52,263 52,131
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
52,159 52,324 52,163 52,355 51,839 51,414 50,974 50,879 51,757 51,818 52,263 51,704
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
51,866 52,557 53,243 53,216 52,778 52,120 51,662 51,997 52,665 52,864 52,787 52,808
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
53,152 53,208 53,771 54,055 54,156 53,846 53,165 53,696 54,655 55,223 54,951 54,635
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
54,214 54,563 54,721 54,767 54,740 54,323 54,064 54,515 55,013 55,155 55,583 54,880
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
55,096 55,501 56,036 55,896 56,202 55,714 55,381 55,646 56,365 56,759 57,110 56,888
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
57,367 57,596 57,805 57,953 58,155 57,710 57,392 57,288 58,105 58,456 58,667 59,030
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
59,014 59,583 60,080 59,690 59,613 59,181 58,434 58,526 59,599 59,766 59,707 60,069
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
59,921 61,064 61,156 61,317 61,174 60,705 59,923 59,559 60,990 61,062 61,818 62,121
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
62,123 62,908 63,067 62,561 62,360 61,349 61,433 61,593 62,181 62,929 63,084 63,642
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
63,818 64,281 64,299 63,560 63,594 63,418 63,394 63,679 64,343 64,997 65,548  

And unemployed…(,000)

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
1,164 1,159 1,121 1,088 1,407 1,478 1,585 1,779 1,539 1,647 1,786 1,802
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
2,238 2,137 2,292 2,164 2,373 2,720 3,034 2,925 2,859 2,593 2,530 2,509
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
2,762 2,637 2,600 2,464 2,450 2,644 2,687 2,762 2,381 2,417 2,525 2,468
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
2,557 2,435 2,381 2,196 2,419 2,598 2,742 2,671 2,450 2,410 2,336 2,303
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
2,410 2,336 2,330 2,062 2,275 2,472 2,666 2,556 2,245 2,170 2,077 2,221
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
2,211 2,164 2,020 1,980 1,990 2,358 2,286 2,130 1,978 1,930 1,749 1,637
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
1,784 1,845 1,890 1,642 1,795 2,001 2,011 1,930 1,617 1,582 1,656 1,568
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
1,741 1,601 1,398 1,435 1,460 1,714 1,807 1,686 1,414 1,312 1,276 1,208
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
1,404 1,456 1,477 1,251 1,305 1,712 1,782 1,869 1,652 1,506 1,382 1,361
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
1,425 1,313 1,265 1,254 1,208 1,440 1,656 1,731 1,463 1,285 1,266 1,290
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
1,374 1,301 1,310 1,134 1,083 1,575 1,539 1,591 1,299 1,246 1,330 1,368
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
1,607 1,317 1,289 1,040 1,086 1,540 1,591 1,476 1,235 1,161 1,208  

For a total Management, Professional & Related workforce of…(,000)

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
53,329 53,657 53,802 53,907 53,951 54,213 54,240 54,405 54,643 55,132 55,060 54,350
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
54,596 54,333 54,637 54,761 54,629 54,496 54,844 54,649 55,045 55,574 54,793 54,640
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
54,921 54,961 54,763 54,819 54,289 54,058 53,661 53,641 54,138 54,235 54,788 54,172
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
54,423 54,992 55,624 55,412 55,197 54,718 54,404 54,668 55,115 55,274 55,123 55,111
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
55,562 55,544 56,101 56,117 56,431 56,318 55,831 56,252 56,900 57,393 57,028 56,856
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
56,425 56,727 56,741 56,747 56,730 56,681 56,350 56,645 56,991 57,085 57,332 56,517
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
56,880 57,346 57,926 57,538 57,997 57,715 57,392 57,576 57,982 58,341 58,766 58,456
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
59,108 59,197 59,203 59,388 59,615 59,424 59,199 58,974 59,519 59,768 59,943 60,238
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
60,418 61,039 61,557 60,941 60,918 60,893 60,216 60,395 61,251 61,272 61,089 61,430
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
61,346 62,377 62,421 62,571 62,382 62,145 61,579 61,290 62,453 62,347 63,084 63,411
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
63,497 64,209 64,377 63,695 63,443 62,924 62,972 63,184 63,480 64,175 64,414 65,010
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
65,425 65,598 65,588 64,600 64,680 64,958 64,985 65,155 65,578 66,158 66,756  

Management, Business and Financial Operations – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 5.2% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 4.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
5.3% 4.9% 4.8% 4.6% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.7% 4.6% 4.4%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.5% 4.4% 4.4% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6% 3.8% 4.1%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 3.8% 3.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 3.1%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
3.4% 3.6% 3.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 2.5%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 2.3% 2.4%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.4% 1.5% 1.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.6%  

Professional & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
4.9% 4.6% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 5.3% 4.4% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
4.3% 4.1% 3.9% 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 5.3% 5.1% 4.4% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
4.2% 4.1% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 4.3% 3.9% 3.5% 3.8%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
3.8% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.6% 4.7% 4.0% 3.6% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 2.6% 2.9% 4.0% 4.1% 3.9% 3.1% 2.7% 2.9% 2.8%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
2.9% 2.7% 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 2.4% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 3.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.2% 2.1%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.1%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
2.4% 2.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.9%  

Sales & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/08 2/08 3/08 4/08 5/08 6/08 7/08 8/08 9/08 10/08 11/08 12/08
5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 4.3% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 5.7% 6.1% 6.5% 7.0%
1/09 2/09 3/09 4/09 5/09 6/09 7/09 8/09 9/09 10/09 11/09 12/09
7.7% 8.4% 8.9% 8.6% 8.9% 9.1% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 9.5% 9.1% 8.9%
1/10 2/10 3/10 4/10 5/10 6/10 7/10 8/10 9/10 10/10 11/10 12/10
10.1% 10.2% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.4% 10.1% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 8.8% 8.3%
1/11 2/11 3/11 4/11 5/11 6/11 7/11 8/11 9/11 10/11 11/11 12/11
9.3% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 7.8% 7.7%
1/12 2/12 3/12 4/12 5/12 6/12 7/12 8/12 9/12 10/12 11/12 12/12
8.2% 7.9% 8.1% 7.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.3% 8.6% 7.9% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0%
1/13 2/13 3/13 4/13 5/13 6/13 7/13 8/13 9/13 10/13 11/13 12/13
8.5% 8.2% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 6.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.5% 7.3% 7.0% 6.3%
1/14 2/14 3/14 4/14 5/14 6/14 7/14 8/14 9/14 10/14 11/14 12/14
7.1% 7.7% 6.8% 5.8% 6.8% 6.1% 6.2% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.3% 5.0%
1/15 2/15 3/15 4/15 5/15 6/15 7/15 8/15 9/15 10/15 11/15 12/15
5.8% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.4% 5.6% 5.3% 5.1% 4.3%
1/16 2/16 3/16 4/16 5/16 6/16 7/16 8/16 9/16 10/16 11/16 12/16
5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 4.8% 5.2% 4.4% 4.6% 4.6%
1/17 2/17 3/17 4/17 5/17 6/17 7/17 8/17 9/17 10/17 11/17 12/17
5.2% 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.2% 4.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8%
1/18 2/18 3/18 4/18 5/18 6/18 7/18 8/18 9/18 10/18 11/18 12/18
4.6% 4.5% 4.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.0% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 3.6%
1/19 2/19 3/19 4/19 5/19 6/19 7/19 8/19 9/19 10/19 11/19 12/19
4.5% 5.0% 4.6% 3.9% 3.6% 3.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3%