BLS Analysis for Recruiters – January 2025

Bob Marshall’s January 2025 BLS Analysis for Recruiters; 2/7/25

January BLS Preface

**“HIRE WIRE” – The Podcast for Recruiters**

Continuing with this BLS report—and again thanks to Kevin Franks, our marketing guru—we will provide the monthly podcast for recruiters, “Hire Wire”, the deep dive that explores my report in a short audio format. So, for those of you who have asked for a shorter summary, we now have that available. Just click on the following links and enjoy the audio.

Here is the link:

TBMG Product & Training Updates:

Coaching Update

PODCAST

Big News! I Was Featured on a Leading Industry Podcast 🎙️

I’m excited to share that I was invited as an expert guest on last week’s podcast from MRI (now known as HIREQUEST)! In this episode, we tackle critical issues in recruiting—why so many recruiters waste time chasing the wrong clients and what you can do to fix it. Also included my short overview of “Your Desk As A Manufacturing Plant.”

If you’re in the industry, this is a must-listen. Tune in now to gain insights that can help you land better clients, higher fees, and a more profitable business.

🔗 Chasing The Wrong Client With Bob Marshall

PS. Would love to hear your thoughts after you listen!

——————–

Coming Up in May

*Top Echelon Expert Recruiter Coaching Series

New Presentation on

Tuesday, May 13th, 2025*

On May 13th at 1pm eastern, I will conduct my next FREE webinar in the Top Echelon Expert Recruiter Coaching Series.  These webinars cover some of the most critical issues currently facing our industry.  And mine especially deal with sharing the classic techniques from the big billers I have known over my now 45 year recruitment career. 

Well, for those of you who come to this edition of the Top Echelon Expert Recruiting Coaching Series (which is free!), I will give a brand-new presentation. More on the content later

So, come join me at this FREE webinar on Tuesday, May 13th, at 1pm EST. Hope to see you there!

Time to engage a Coach

I realize that taking that first step to engage a Coach to help you reach a higher level of production is not as easy as it sounds.  After all, your training investment – and your time – are important and deserve every consideration.  I share your feelings.  I believe that how you approach your recruitment career matters…that you should get what you pay for, and then some…that you should enjoy your time with your Coach as you are benefiting from it…and that you should never settle for the ordinary.

So, for those of you who have been toying with the idea of working with a recruitment coach (and for those of you who have tried a coach, and it just didn’t work out), now may be the time to pick a coach who molds the training around the recruiter and not the recruiter around the training.  I feel in Coaching, as in Life, Flexibility is Key!

The 2025 TBMG Mentorship Hour Packs

1. TBMG Discovery Call (25 minutes $199)

2. 5-Hour Pack ($950, expires in 3 months)

3. 10-Hour Pack ($1,800, expires in 6 months)

4. 20-Hour Pack ($3,400, expires in 12 months)

            Split billing terms available

Key Features:

  • Custom Guidance: Tailored mentorship to address your specific challenges and goals.
  • Flexible Scheduling: Sessions can be booked in increments of 30 minutes, 1 hour, or 90 Minutes.
  • Team Participation: Add team members to scheduled calls for half the hourly rate (deducted from your mentorship pack).

Books are Available Now!

A book review from a Tenured Recruitment Firm President…

“Timeless Classic!”

“I have been reading and purchasing Bob’s training materials for over 20 years. I’ve also had him speak with my office. In the book, Bob reviews his classics. Classics doesn’t mean old, but timeless. To be great at anything you must have a process for success. Bob lays out this process with his usual Bob Marshall candor and insight.  I highly recommend the book to anyone just starting in the business or has been in it for 30+ years like me.”

All of the edition formats are now available

Specify which format you want to purchase (books can be signed or unsigned). Get enough copies for your entire team; FREE SHIPPING on orders over $50.) The link for the eBook will be emailed directly to you.

BLS Analysis for Recruiters

January Business Articles

Veterinarian tops list of best jobs for 2025

SIA, Craig Johnson, January 14, 2025

‘Indeed’ listed the top jobs for 2025, and veterinarian came out on top with a median annual salary of $139,000. It was followed by sales representative with an annual salary of $182,487

Jobs had to meet three qualifications to be on the list: a minimum salary of $75,000, at least 20% growth in postings over the past three years and at least 5% of postings being remote or hybrid

Overall, healthcare and engineering were the dominant sectors. Most jobs on this year’s list require specialized education or training.

Here’s the list of 25 top jobs for this year, according to Indeed:

1. Veterinarian                                                139,999

2. Sales Rep                                        182,487

3. Physician                                         225,000

4. Civil Engineer                                 100,872

5. Estimator                                         99,592

6. Attorney                                          145,168

7. Territory Manager                           80,348

8. Clinical Psychologist                      118,597

9. Fire Engineer                                  110,000

10, Structural Engineer                       110,725

11. Senior Electrical Engineer            125,239

12. Surveyor                                        83,913

13. Safety Manager                             98,598

14. Radiologist                                    385,116

15. Mechanical Designer                    88,563

16. Electrical Designer                       97,508

17. Paralegal                                        125,000

18. Registered Nurse                          125,531

19. Senior Project Engineer                116,962

20. Water Resources Engineer            102,028

21. Insurance Agent                            77,000

22. Director of Clinical Services        95,000

23. Realtor                                          137,500

24, Electrical Project Manager           120,566

25. Advertising Sales Rep                 

Upwork lists most in-demand, fastest-growing skills for 2025

SIA, Amrita Ahuja, January 14, 2025

Accounting and consulting ranked as one of the fastest-growing work categories, according to data released Jan. 15 by Upwork as part of its list of most in-demand and fastest-growing skills. Within the accounting and consulting segment, the fastest-growing skills include personal coaching, career coaching and training and development.

While demand for advanced AI skills, such as generative AI modeling and AI data annotation is surging — along with the corresponding freelancer earnings — the research also noted a significant rise in roles focused on career coaching and training and development.

“The data reveals a dual narrative,” Kelly Monahan, managing director of the Upwork Research Institute, said in a press release. “On one hand, there’s explosive demand for technical expertise in areas like AI. On the other, businesses are investing in coaching and human development to help their teams navigate technological change.”

Here are Upwork’s lists of most in-demand skills for 2025:

Accounting and Consulting

The three fastest-growing accounting and consulting skills are:

Coding and Web Development

The three fastest-growing coding and web development skills are:

Customer Service and Admin Support

The three fastest-growing customer service and admin support skills are:

Data Science and Analytics

The three fastest-growing data science and analytics skills are:

Design and Creative

The three fastest-growing design and creative skills are:

Sales and Marketing

The three fastest-growing sales and marketing skills are:

Data for the report was sourced from the Upwork database and is based on freelancer earnings and job postings from Jan. 1, 2024, to Oct. 31, 2024.

 

ADP National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 183,000 Jobs in January; Over 65% of the New Job Creation (131,000) came from Small & Medium Establishments; Annual Pay was Up 4.7%

ROSELAND, N.J. – February 5, 2025

Private sector employment increased by 183,000 jobs in January and annual pay was up 4.7% year-over-year, according to the January ADP® National Employment ReportTM produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab (“Stanford Lab”).

The ADP National Employment Report is an independent measure of the change in U.S. private employment and pay derived from actual, anonymized payroll data of client companies served by ADP, a leading provider of human capital management solutions.

The report is produced by ADP Research in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab. The ADP National Employment Report is broadly distributed to the public each month, free of charge, as part of the company’s commitment to offering deeper insights of the U.S. labor market and providing businesses and governments with a source of credible and valuable information.

The jobs report and pay insights use ADP’s fine-grained anonymized and aggregated payroll data to provide a representative picture of the private-sector labor market. The report details the current month’s total private employment change, and weekly job data from the previous month. Because the underlying ADP payroll databases are continuously updated, the report provides a high frequency, near real-time measure of U.S. employment. This measure reflects the number of employees on ADP client payrolls (Payroll Employment) to provide a richer understanding of the labor market. Beginning January 2025, ADP’s Pay Insights measure captures nearly 14,800,000 individual pay change observations each month, up from nearly 10,000,000 when it launched.

*Revisions:  The January 2025 report reflects the scheduled annual revision of the ADP National Employment Report. The data series has been reweighted to match annual Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) benchmark data through March 2024. In addition, this revision encompasses an improved labeling model, including updated geographical and industry classifications. The 2025 mid-year preliminary benchmark will be moved from August to September.

* Sum of components may not equal total due to rounding. The December total number of jobs added was revised from 122,000 to 176,000.

We had a strong start to 2025, but it masked a dichotomy in the labor market,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist, ADP. “Consumer-facing industries drove hiring, while job growth was weaker in business services and production.”

JOBS REPORT

Private employers added 183,000 jobs in January Hiring momentum in the last quarter of 2024 carried into January with some exceptions, including manufacturing.

Change in U.S. Private Employment: 183,000

Change by Industry Sector

Goods-producing: <-6,000>

Natural resources/mining 4,000

Construction 3,000

Manufacturing <-13,000>

Service-providing: 190,000

Trade/transportation/utilities 56,000

Information 18,000

Financial activities 13,000

Professional/business services 14,000

Education/health services 20,000

Leisure/hospitality 54,000

Other services 15,000

Change by U.S. Regions

Northeast: 22,000

New England 5,000

Middle Atlantic 17,000

Midwest: 64,000

East North Central 61,000

West North Central 3,000

South: 50,000

South Atlantic 59,000

East South Central 10,000

West South Central <-19,000>

West: 70,000

Mountain 16,000

Pacific 54,000

Change by Establishment Size

Small establishments: 39,000

1-19 employees 23,000

20-49 employees 16,000

Medium establishments: 92,000

50-249 employees 53,000

250-499 employees 39,000

Large establishments: 69,000

500+ employees 69,000

PAY INSIGHTS

Pay gains were stable in January

Year-over-year pay growth for job-stayers was 4.7%. Pay growth for job-changers was 6.8%.

Beginning this month, Pay Insights incorporates a larger sample size:

*ADP Pay Insights Methodology Enhancements ADP Pay Insights uses employer payroll data to track the wages and salaries of individual workers and computes year-over-year changes in pay. Beginning in January 2025, the Pay Insights base data set will include nearly 22,300,000 workers, up from about 14,000,000. This expanded sample size is the result of improved industry code matching and an enhanced imputational model. From this larger sample, Pay Insights can make more than 14,800,000 pay-change observations each month, up from nearly 10,000,000 when it launched. Included in this sample are job-stayers and job-changers. The monthly sample of job-stayers – those unique worker-employer pairings observed in both the current month and the 12 months earlier – has grown from more than 7,700,000 to more than 13,800,000. The sample of job-changers – those individuals whose current job is different than the one they held 12 months earlier – has grown from approximately 310,000 to more than 1,000,000. With this change, the Pay Insights time series also has expanded to begin in December 2018, from October 2019. Because the methodology requires two years of observation to compute pay growth, the series will be reported from November 2020.

Median Change in Annual Pay (ADP matched person sample)

Job-Stayers 4.7%

Job-Changers 6.8%

Median Change in Annual Pay for Job-Stayers by Industry Sector

Goods-producing:

Natural resources/mining 4.3%

Construction 5.0%

Manufacturing 4.9%

Service-providing:

Trade/transportation/utilities 4.3%

Information 4.3%

Financial activities 5.0%

Professional/business services 4.6%

Education/health services 5.0%

Leisure/hospitality 4.8%

Other services 4.6%

Median Change in Annual Pay for Job-Stayers by Firm Size

Small firms:

1-19 employees 2.9%

20-49 employees 4.5%

Medium firms:

50-249 employees 5.0%

250-499 employees 5.1%

Large firms:

500+ employees 5.0%

The February 2025 ADP National Employment Report will be released at 8:15 a.m. ET on March 5, 2025.

Bottom-line:  To my audience of recruiters, always remember this:  Our ‘bread and butter’, especially on the contingency side of the house, has historically been, and continues to be, small and medium-sized client companies.  Along with the large companies, these companies need to be included in your niche!

Job Openings and Labor Turnover – December 2024

February 4, 2025

The number of job openings decreased to 7,600,000 on the last business day of December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the month, hires and total separations were little changed at 5,500,000 and 5,300,000, respectively. Within separations, quits (3,200,000) and layoffs and discharges (1,800,000) changed little. This release includes estimates of the number and rate of job openings, hires, and separations for the total nonfarm sector, by industry, and by establishment size class.

Job Openings

The number of job openings decreased to 7,600,000 (-556,000) on the last business day of December and was down by 1,300,000 over the year. The job openings rate, at 4.5%, decreased over the month. The number of job openings decreased in professional and business services (-225,000), health care and social assistance (-180,000), and finance and insurance (-136,000). Job openings increased in arts, entertainment, and recreation (+65,000).

Hires

In December, the number of hires changed little at 5,500,000 but was down by 325,000 over the year. The hires rate remained unchanged at 3.4% over the month. Hires increased in finance and insurance (+48,000).

Separations

Total separations include quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. Quits are generally voluntary separations initiated by the employee. Therefore, the quits rate can serve as a measure of workers’ willingness or ability to leave jobs. Layoffs and discharges are involuntary separations initiated by the employer. Other separations include separations due to retirement, death, disability, and transfers to other locations of the same firm.

The number of total separations in December was little changed at 5,300,000. The total separations rate remained unchanged at 3.3% over the month.

In December, the number of quits was little changed at 3,200,000 but declined by 242,000 over the year. Over the month, the quits rate was unchanged at 2.0%. Quits decreased in transportation, warehousing, and utilities (-42,000).

In December, the number of layoffs and discharges changed little at 1,800,000. The rate remained unchanged at 1.1%. Layoffs and discharges increased in transportation, warehousing, and utilities (+87,000), and in mining and logging (+6,000).

The number of other separations was essentially unchanged at 302,000 in December.

Establishment Size Class

In December, establishments with 1 to 9 employees showed little or no change in job openings, hires, total separations, quits, and layoffs and discharges rates. For establishments with 5,000 or more employees, the layoffs and discharges rate and total separations rate increased, while the job openings, hires, and quits rates showed little or no change.

November 2024 Revisions

The number of job openings for November was revised up by 58,000 to 8,200,000, the number of hires was revised up by 104,000 to 5,400,000, and the number of total separations was revised up by 105,000 to 5,200,000. Within separations, the number of quits was revised up by 65,000 to 3,100,000, and the number of layoffs and discharges was revised up by 35,000 to 1,800,000. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors.)

Upcoming Revisions to the JOLTS Estimates                                   |

                                                                                                    |

As part of its regular annual process, the release of January 2025 estimates on March 11, 2025, will incorporate the annual updates to the Current Employment Statistics employment estimates and the JOLTS seasonal adjustment factors. Unadjusted data and seasonally adjusted data from January 2020 forward are subject to revision.                                                                      

____________

The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey estimates for January 2025 are scheduled to be released on Tuesday, March 11, 2025, at 10:00 a.m. (ET).

As we recruiters know, that 7,600,000 number only represents 20% of the jobs currently available in the marketplace.  The other 80% of job openings are unpublished and are filled through networking or word of mouth or by using a RECRUITER.   So, those 7,600,000 published job openings now become a total of 38,000,000 published and hidden job orders.

Online Labor Demand Decreased in December

January 15, 2025

The Conference Board−Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index decreased in December 2024 to 119.8 (July 2018=100), down from an upwardly revised 123.7 in November. The –3.1% decline between December and November followed a 3.3% increase between November and October. Overall, the Index is down 11.8% from one year ago.

The HWOL Index measures the change in advertised online job vacancies over time, reflecting monthly trends in employment opportunities across the US. The Help Wanted OnLine® Index is produced in collaboration with Lightcast, the global leader in real-time labor market data and analysis. This collaboration enhances the Help Wanted OnLine® program by providing additional insights into important labor market trends.

PROGRAM NOTES


Prior to 2020, The Conference Board constructed the HWOL Index based solely on online job ads over time. Using a methodology designed to reduce non-economic volatility contributed by online job sources, the HWOL Index served an effective measure of changes in labor demand over time.

Beginning January 2020, the HWOL Index was refined as an estimate of change in job openings (based on BLS JOLTS), using a series of econometric models which incorporate job ads with other macroeconomic indicators such as employment and aggregate hours worked. By adopting a modeled approach which combines other data sources with data on online job ads, the HWOL Index more accurately tracks important movements in the labor market.


HWOL Annual Revision. 

With the May 2024 press release, the HWOL program has incorporated its annual revision, which helps ensure the accuracy and consistency of the HWOL Data Series. This year’s annual revision includes updates to the Occupational coding, the Industry coding, and the Geography coding for the HWOL Data Series from January 2015-forward. The HWOL Index has also been updated from January 2020-forward.

In August 2024, Lightcast and The Conference Board identified a technical coding error in the HWOL Data Series. The HWOL Data Series was historically revised from March 2024-present with the release of the July 2024 data.

The Conference Board-Lightcast Help Wanted OnLine® (HWOL) Index measures changes over time in advertised online job vacancies, reflecting monthly trends in employment opportunities across the US. The HWOL Data Series aggregates the total number of ads available by month from the HWOL universe of online job ads. Ads in the HWOL universe are collected in real-time from over 50,000 online job domains including traditional job boards, corporate boards, social media sites, and smaller job sites that serve niche markets and smaller geographic areas.


Like The Conference Board’s long-running Help Wanted Advertising Index of print ads (which was published for over 55 years and discontinued in July 2008), Help Wanted OnLine® measures help wanted advertising—i.e. labor demand. The HWOL Data Series began in May 2005 and was revised in December 2018. With the December 2018 revision, The Conference Board released the HWOL Index, improving upon the HWOL Data Series’ ability to assess local labor market trends by reducing volatility and non-economic noise and improving correlation with local labor market conditions.


In 2019, Lightcast (formerly Emsi Burning Glass) joined the Help Wanted OnLine® program as the new sole provider of online job ad data for HWOL. With this partnership, the HWOL Data Series has been revised historically to reflect a new universe and methodology of online job advertisements and therefore cannot be used in conjunction with the pre-revised HWOL Data Series. The HWOL Data Series begins in January 2015 and the HWOL Index begins in December 2005. HWOL Index values prior to 2020 are based on job ads collected by CEB, Inc.


Those using this data are urged to review the information on the database and methodology available on The Conference Board website and contact us with questions and comments.


About The Conference Board


The Conference Board is the member-driven think tank that delivers Trusted Insights for What’s Ahead®. Founded in 1916, we are a non-partisan, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States.

About Lightcast

As the global leader in labor market analytics, Lightcast illuminates the future of work with data-driven talent strategies. Formerly Emsi Burning Glass, Lightcast finds purpose in sharing the insights that build communities, educators, and companies, and takes pride in knowing our work helps others find fulfillment, too. Headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, and Moscow, Idaho, Lightcast is active in more than 30 countries and has offices in the United Kingdom, Italy, New Zealand, and India. Lightcast is backed by global private equity leader KKR. 

The next release for January 2025 is Wednesday, February 12, 2025

U-6 Update

In January 2025, the regular unemployment rate edged down to 4.0% and the broader U-6 measure remained at 7.5%.

The above 7.5% is referred to as the U-6 unemployment rate (found in the monthly BLS Employment Situation Summary, Table A-15; Table A-12 in 2008 and before).  It counts not only people without work seeking full-time employment (the more familiar U-3 rate) but also counts “marginally attached workers and those working part-time for economic reasons.”  Note that some of these part-time workers counted as employed by U-3 could be working as little as an hour a week.  And the “marginally attached workers” include those who have gotten discouraged and stopped looking but still want to work.  The age considered for this calculation is 16 years and over.

Here is a look at the January U-6 numbers for the previous 22 years:

January                        2024                7.2%

January                        2023                6.7%

January                        2022                7.1%

January                        2021                11.1%

January                        2020                6.9%

January                        2019                8.0%

January                        2018                8.2%

January                        2017                9.4%

January                        2016                9.9%

January                        2015                11.3%

January                        2014                12.7%

January                        2013                14.4%

January                        2012                15.1%

January                        2011                16.1%

January                        2010                16.5%

January                        2009                14.0%

January                        2008                9.0%

January                        2007                8.3%

January                        2006                8.4%

January                       2005                9.3%

January                        2004                9.9%

January                        2003                9.9%

The January 2025 BLS Analysis

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 143,000 in January, and the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0%, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.  Job gains occurred in health care, retail trade and social assistance. Employment declined in the mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction industry.
 
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for November was revised up by 49,000, from +212,000 to +261,000, and the change for December was revised up by 51,000, from +256,000 to +307,000.  With these revisions, employment in November and December combined is 100,000 higher than previously reported. (Monthly revisions result from additional reports received from businesses and government agencies since the last published estimates and from the recalculation of seasonal factors. The annual benchmark process also contributed to the November and December revisions)

The unemployment rate is also published by the BLS.  That rate is found by dividing the number of unemployed by the total civilian labor force.  On February 7th, 2025, the BLS published the most recent unemployment rate for January 2025 of 4.0% (actually, it is 4.011% down .075% from 4.086% in December).

The unemployment rate was determined by dividing the unemployed of 6,849,000

(–down from the month before by 37,000—since January 2024, this number has increased by 700,000) by the total civilian labor force of 170,744,000 (up by 2,197,000 from December 2024).  Since January 2024, our total civilian labor force has increased by 3,405,000 workers.

(The continuing ‘Strange BLS Math’ saga—after a detour in December 2016 when the BLS {for the first time in years} DECREASED the total Civilian Noninstitutional Population—this month the BLS increased this total to 272,685,000.  This is an increase of 3,047,000 from last month’s increase of 175,000.  In one year, this population has increased by 5,145,000.  For the last several years the Civilian Noninstitutional Population has increased each month—except in December 2016, 2018, 2019, 2020 & 2023—by…)

Up from December 2024by3,047,000
Up from November 2024by175,000
Up from October 2024by174,000
Up from September 2024by209,000
Up from August 2024by224,000
Up from July 2024by212,000
Up from June 2024by206,000
Up from May 2024by190,000
Up from April 2024by182,000
Up from March 2024by182,000
Up from February 2024by173,000
Up from January 2024by171,000
Down from December 2023by451,000
Up from November 2023by169,000
Up from October 2023by180,000
Up from September 2023by214,000
Up from August 2023by215,000
Up from July 2023by211,000
Up from June 2023by152,000
Up from May 2023by183,000
Up from April 2023by175,000
Up from March 2023by171,000
Up from February 2023by160,000
Up from January 2023by150,000
Up from December 2022by1,118,000
Up from November 2022by136,000
Up from October 2022by173,000
Up from September 2022by179,000
Up from August 2022by172,000
Up from July 2022by172,000
Up from June 2022by177,000
Up from May 2022by156,000
Up from April 2022by120,000
Up from March 2022by115,000
Up from February 2022by120,000
Up from January 2022by122,000
Up from December 2021by1,066,000

Subtract the ‘civilian labor force’ from the ‘civilian noninstitutional population’) and you get 101,941,000 ‘Not in Labor Force’—up by 850,000 from last month’s 101,091,000.  In one year, this NILF population has increased by 1,740,000.  The government tells us that most of these NILFs got discouraged and just gave up looking for a job.  My monthly recurring question is: “If that is the case, how do they survive when they don’t earn any money because they don’t have a job?  Are they ALL relying on the government to support them??”

This month, our Employment Participation Rate—the population 16 years and older working or seeking work—remained at 62.6%.  This rate is only .2% higher than the historically low rate of 62.4% recorded in September 2015—and, before that, the rate recorded in October 1977—9 months into Jimmy Carter’s presidency—almost 40 years ago!

Final take on these numbers:  Fewer people looking for work will always bring down the unemployment rate.

Anyway, back to the point I am trying to make.  On the surface, these new unemployment

rates are scary, but let’s look a little deeper and consider some other numbers.

The unemployment rate includes all types of workers—construction workers, government workers, etc.  We recruiters, on the other hand, mainly place management, professional and related types of workers.  That unemployment rate in January was 2.2% (this rate was .1% higher than last month’s 2.1%).  Or you can look at it another way.  We usually place people who have college degrees.  That unemployment rate in January was 2.3% (this rate was .1% lower than last month’s 2.4%).

Now stay with me a little longer.  This gets better.  It’s important to understand (and none of the pundits mention this) that the unemployment rate, for many reasons, will never be 0%, no matter how good the economy is.  Without boring you any more than I have already, let me add here that Milton Friedman (the renowned Nobel Prize-winning economist), is famous for the theory of the “natural rate of unemployment” (or the term he preferred, NAIRU, which is the acronym for Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment).  Basically, this theory states that full employment presupposes an ‘unavoidable and acceptable’ unemployment rate of somewhere between 4-6% with it.  Economists often settle on 5%, although the “New Normal Unemployment Rate” has been suggested to fall at 6.7%.

Nevertheless (if you will allow me to apply a ‘macro’ concept to a ‘micro’ issue), if this rate is applied to our main category of Management, Professional and Related types of potential recruits, and/or our other main category of College-Degreed potential recruits,

we are well below the 4-6% threshold for full employment…we find no unemployment!  None!  Zilch!  A Big Goose Egg! 

THE IMPORTANCE OF GDP

“The economic goal of any nation, as of any individual, is to get the greatest results with the least effort.  The whole economic progress of mankind has consisted in getting more production with the same labor…Translated into national terms, this first principle means that our real objective is to maximize production.  In doing this, full employment—that is, the absence of involuntary idleness—becomes a necessary by-product.  But production is the end, employment merely the means.  We cannot continuously have the fullest production without full employment.  But we can very easily have full employment without full production.”

–Economics in One Lesson, by Henry Hazlitt, Chapter X, “The Fetish of Full Employment”

On January 30th, the real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.3% in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter of 2023, real GDP increased 3.1%.

The increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected increases in consumer spending and government spending that were partly offset by a decrease in investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Compared to the third quarter, the deceleration in real GDP in the fourth quarter primarily reflected downturns in investment and exports. Imports turned down.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.2% in the fourth quarter, compared with an increase of 1.9% in the third quarter. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 2.3%, compared with an increase of 1.5%. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 2.5%, compared with an increase of 2.2%.

GDP for 2024

Real GDP increased 2.8% in 2024 (from the 2023 annual level to the 2024 annual level), compared with an increase of 2.9% in 2023. The increase in real GDP in 2024 reflected increases in consumer spending, investment, government spending, and exports. Imports increased.

The price index for gross domestic purchases increased 2.3% in 2024, compared with an increase of 3.3% in 2023. The PCE price index increased 2.5%, compared with an increase of 3.8%. Excluding food and energy prices, the PCE price index increased 2.8%, compared with an increase of 4.1%.

Technical Notes

Sources of change for real GDP

Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 2.3% (0.6% at a quarterly rate1), primarily reflecting increases in both consumer and government spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Impact of Hurricane Milton on fourth-quarter 2024 estimates

Hurricane Milton made landfall as a Category 3 hurricane just south of Tampa Bay, Florida, on October 9, 2024, bringing damage from high winds, including significant tornado activity, and extensive inland flooding. 

This disaster disrupted usual consumer and business activities and prompted emergency services and remediation activities. The responses to this disaster are included, but not separately identified, in the source data that BEA uses to prepare the estimates of GDP; consequently, it is not possible to estimate the overall impact of Hurricane Milton on fourth-quarter GDP. The destruction of fixed assets, such as residential and nonresidential structures, does not directly affect GDP or personal income.

BEA’s preliminary estimates show that Hurricane Milton resulted in losses of $27.0 billion in privately owned fixed assets ($108.0 billion at an annual rate) and $3.0 billion in state and local government-owned fixed assets ($12.0 billion at an annual rate).

*          *          *

Next release: February 27, 2025, at 8:30 a.m. EST
Gross Domestic Product, 4th Quarter and Year 2024 (Second Estimate)

IT IS IMPOSSIBLE FOR UNEMPLOYMENT EVER TO BE ZERO

‘Unemployment’ is an emotional ‘trigger’ word…a ‘third rail’, if you will.  It conjures up negative thoughts.  But it is important to realize that, while we want everyone who wants a job to have the opportunity to work, unemployment can never be zero and, in fact, can be disruptive to an economy if it gets too close to zero.  Very low unemployment can actually hurt the economy by creating an upward pressure on wages which invariably leads to higher production costs and prices.  This can lead to inflation.  The lowest the unemployment rate has been in the US was 2.5%.  That was in May and June 1953 when the economy overheated due to the Korean War.  When this bubble burst, it kicked off the Recession of 1953.  A healthy economy will always include some percentage of unemployment.

There are five main sources of unemployment:

1.  Cyclical (or demand-deficient) unemployment – This type of unemployment fluctuates with the business cycle.  It rises during a recession and falls during the subsequent recovery.  Workers who are most affected by this type of unemployment are laid off during a recession when production volumes fall, and companies use lay-offs as the easiest way to reduce costs.  These workers are usually rehired, some months later, when the economy improves.

2.  Frictional unemployment – This comes from the normal turnover in the labor force.  This is where new workers are entering the workforce and older workers are retiring and leaving vacancies to be filled by the new workers or those re-entering the workforce.  This category includes workers who are between jobs.

3.  Structural unemployment – This happens when the skills possessed by the unemployed worker don’t match the requirements of the opening—whether those be in characteristics and skills or in location.  This can come from new technology or foreign competition (e.g., foreign outsourcing).  This type of unemployment usually lasts longer than frictional unemployment because retraining, and sometimes relocation, is involved.  Occasionally jobs in this category can just disappear overseas.

4.  Seasonal unemployment – This happens when the workforce is affected by the climate or time of year.  Construction workers and agricultural workers aren’t needed as much during the winter season because of the inclement weather.  On the other hand, retail workers experience an increase in hiring shortly before, and during, the holiday season, but can be laid off shortly thereafter.

5.  Surplus unemployment – This is caused by minimum wage laws and unions.  When wages are set at a higher level, unemployment can often result.  Why?  To keep within the same payroll budget, the company must let go of some workers to pay the remaining workers a higher salary.

Other factors influencing the unemployment rate:

1.  Length of unemployment – Some studies indicate that an important factor influencing a worker’s decision to accept a new job is directly related to the length of the unemployment benefit they are receiving.  Currently, workers in most states are eligible for up to 26 weeks of benefits from the regular state-funded unemployment compensation program.

Extended Benefits are available to workers who have exhausted regular unemployment insurance benefits during periods of high unemployment. The basic Extended Benefits program provides up to 13 additional weeks of benefits when a State is experiencing high unemployment. Some States have also enacted a voluntary program to pay up to 7 additional weeks (20 weeks maximum) of Extended Benefits during periods of extremely high unemployment.

Studies suggest that additional weeks of benefits reduce the incentive of the unemployed to seek and accept less-desirable jobs.

2.  Changes in GDP – Since hiring workers takes time, the improvement in the unemployment rate usually lags the improvement in the GDP.

WHERE RECRUITERS PLACE

Now back to the issue at hand, namely the recruiting, and placing, of professionals and those with college degrees.

If you look at the past 25 years of unemployment in the January “management, professional and related” types of worker category, you will find the following rates:

January                        2024                            2.1%

January                        2023                            2.1%

January                        2022                            2.3%

January                        2021                            3.7%

January                        2020                            2.2%

January                        2019                            2.5%

January                        2018                            2.2%

January                        2017                            2.3%

January                        2016                            2.3%

January                        2015                            2.9%

January                        2014                            3.1%

January                        2013                            3.9%

January                        2012                            4.3%

January                        2011                            4.7%

January                        2010                            5.0%

January                        2009                            4.1%

January                        2008                            2.2%

January                        2007                            2.0%

January                        2006                            2.1%

January                        2005                            2.4%

January                        2004                            3.0%

January                        2003                            3.2%

January                        2002                            3.1%

January                        2001                            1.8%

January                        2000                            1.8%

Here are the rates, during those same time periods, for “college-degreed” workers:

January                        2024                            2.1%

January                        2023                            2.0%

January                        2022                            2.3%

January                        2021                            4.0%

January                        2020                            2.0%

January                        2019                            2.4%

January                        2018                            2.2%

January                        2017                            2.5%

January                        2016                            2.5%

January                        2015                            2.8%

January                        2014                            3.3%

January                        2013                            3.8%

January                        2012                            4.2%

January                        2011                            4.2%

January                        2010                            4.8%

January                        2009                            3.9%

January                        2008                            2.1%

January                        2007                            2.1%

January                        2006                            2.1%

January                        2005                            2.4%

January                        2004                            2.9%

January                        2003                            3.0%

January                        2002                            2.9%

January                        2001                            1.6%

January                        2000                            1.8%

The January 2025 rates for these two categories, 2.2% and 2.3%, respectively, are pretty low.  But regardless, these unemployment numbers usually include a good number of job hoppers, job shoppers and rejects.  We, on the other hand, are engaged by our client companies to find those candidates who are happy, well-appreciated, making good money and currently working and we entice them to move for even better opportunities—especially where new technologies are expanding.  This will never change.  And that is why, no matter the overall unemployment rate, we still need to MARKET to find the best possible job orders to work and we still need to RECRUIT to find the best possible candidates for those Job Orders.

Below are the numbers for the over 25-year old’s:

Less than H.S. diploma – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
7.7%7.4%8.2%7.9%8.4%8.9%8.6%9.7%9.8%10.4%10.6%10.9%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
12.0%12.6%13.3%14.8%15.5%15.5%15.4%15.6%15.0%15.5%15.0%15.3%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
15.2%15.6%14.5%14.7%15.0%14.1%13.8%14.0%15.4%15.3%15.7%15.3%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
14.2%13.9%13.7%14.6%14.7%14.3%15.0%14.3%14.0%13.8%13.2%13.8%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
13.1%12.9%12.6%12.5%13.0%12.6%12.7%12.0%11.3%12.2%12.2%11.7%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
12.0%11.2%11.1%11.6%11.1%10.7%11.0%11.3%10.3%10.9%10.8%9.8%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
9.6%9.8%9.6%8.9%9.1%9.1%9.6%9.1%8.4%7.9%8.5%8.8%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
8.5%8.4%8.6%8.6%8.6%8.2%8.3%7.7%7.7%7.3%6.8%6.7%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
7.4%7.3%7.4%7.5%7.1%7.5%6.3%7.2%8.5%7.3%7.9%7.9%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
7.3%7.9%6.8%6.5%6.1%6.4%6.9%6.0%6.5%5.7%5.2%6.3%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
5.4%5.7%5.5%5.9%5.4%5.5%5.1%5.7%5.5%6.0%5.6%5.8%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
5.7%5.3%5.9%5.4%5.4%5.3%5.1%5.4%4.8%5.6%5.3%5.2%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
5.5%5.7%6.8%21.2%19.9%16.6%15.4%12.6%10.7%9.9%9.2%9.8%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
9.1%10.1%8.2%9.3%9.1%10.2%9.5%7.8%7.9%7.4%5.7%5.2%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
6.3%4.3%5.2%5.4%5.2%5.8%5.9%6.2%5.6%6.3%4.4%5.0%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
4.5%5.8%4.8%5.4%5.7%6.0%5.2%5.4%5.5%5.8%6.3%6.0%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
6.0%6.1%4.9%6.0%5.9%5.9%6.7%7.1%6.8%6.6%6.0%5.6%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
5.2%        

H.S. Grad; no college – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
4.6%4.7%5.1%5.0%5.2%5.2%5.3%5.8%6.3%6.5%6.9%7.7%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
8.1%8.3%9.0%9.3%10.0%9.8%9.4%9.7%10.8%11.2%10.4%10.5%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
10.1%10.5%10.8%10.6%10.9%10.8%10.1%10.3%10.0%10.1%10.0%9.8%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
9.4%9.5%9.5%9.7%9.5%10.0%9.3%9.6%9.7%9.6%8.8%8.7%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
8.4%8.3%8.0%7.9%8.1%8.4%8.7%8.8%8.7%8.4%8.1%8.0%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
8.1%7.9%7.6%7.4%7.4%7.6%7.6%7.6%7.6%7.3%7.3%7.1%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
6.5%6.4%6.3%6.3%6.5%5.8%6.1%6.2%5.3%5.7%5.6%5.3%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
5.4%5.4%5.3%5.4%5.8%5.4%5.5%5.5%5.3%5.3%5.4%5.6%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
5.3%5.3%5.4%5.4%5.1%5.0%5.0%5.1%5.2%5.5%4.9%5.1%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
5.2%5.0%4.9%4.6%4.7%4.6%4.5%5.1%4.3%4.3%4.3%4.2%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
4.5%4.4%4.3%4.3%3.9%4.2%4.0%3.9%3.7%4.0%3.5%3.8%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
3.8%3.8%3.7%3.5%3.5%3.9%3.6%3.6%3.6%3.7%3.7%3.7%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
3.8%3.6%4.4%17.3%15.3%12.1%10.8%9.8%9.0%8.1%7.8%7.8%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
7.1%7.2%6.7%6.9%6.8%7.0%6.3%6.0%5.8%5.4%5.2%4.6%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
4.6%4.5%4.0%3.8%3.8%3.6%3.6%4.2%3.7%3.9%3.9%3.6%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
3.7%3.6%4.0%3.9%3.9%3.9%3.4%3.8%4.1%4.0%4.1%4.2%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
4.3%4.2%4.1%4.0%4.3%4.2%4.6%4.0%4.0%4.0%4.6%4.3%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
4.5%        

Some College; or AA/AS – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
3.7%3.8%3.9%4.0%4.3%4.4%4.6%5.0%5.1%5.3%5.5%5.6%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
6.2%7.0%7.2%7.4%7.7%8.0%7.9%8.2%8.5%9.0%9.0%9.0%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
8.5%8.0%8.2%8.3%8.3%8.2%8.3%8.7%9.1%8.5%8.7%8.1%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
8.0%7.8%7.4%7.5%8.0%8.4%8.3%8.2%8.4%8.3%7.6%7.7%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
7.2%7.3%7.5%7.6%7.9%7.5%7.1%6.6%6.5%6.9%6.6%6.9%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
7.0%6.7%6.4%6.4%6.5%6.4%6.0%6.1%6.0%6.3%6.4%6.1%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
6.0%6.2%6.1%5.7%5.5%5.0%5.3%5.4%5.4%4.8%4.9%5.0%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
5.2%5.1%4.8%4.7%4.4%4.2%4.4%4.4%4.3%4.3%4.4%4.1%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
4.2%4.2%4.1%4.1%3.9%4.2%4.3%4.3%4.2%4.2%3.9%3.8%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
3.8%4.0%3.7%3.7%4.0%3.8%3.7%3.8%3.6%3.7%3.6%3.6%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
3.4%3.5%3.6%3.5%3.2%3.3%3.2%3.5%3.2%3.0%3.1%3.3%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
3.4%3.2%3.4%3.1%2.8%3.0%3.2%3.1%2.9%2.9%2.9%2.7%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
2.8%3.0%3.7%15.0%13.3%10.9%10.0%8.0%8.1%6.6%6.3%6.3%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
6.2%5.9%5.9%5.8%5.9%5.8%5.0%5.1%4.5%4.4%3,7%3.6%
1/222/223/234/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
3.6%3.8%3.0%3.1%3.4%3.1%2.8%2.9%2.9%3.0%3.2%2.9%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
2.9%3.2%3.0%2.9%3.2%3.1%3.1%3.0%3.0%3.1%2.8%3.1%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
2.9%3.2%3.0%2.9%3.2%3.1%3.1%3.0%3.0%3.1%2.8%3.1%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
3.3%3.1%3.4%3.3%3.1%3.4%3.5%3.4%3.4%3.4%3.6%3.5%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
3.5%        

BS/BS + – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.3%2.4%2.5%2.7%2.6%3.1%3.2%3.7%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
3.9%4.1%4.3%4.4%4.8%4.7%4.7%4.7%4.9%4.7%4.9%5.0%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
4.8%5.0%4.9%4.9%4.7%4.4%4.5%4.6%4.4%4.7%5.1%4.8%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
4.2%4.3%4.4%4.5%4.5%4.4%4.3%4.3%4.2%4.4%4.4%4.1%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
4.2%4.2%4.2%4.0%3.9%4.1%4.1%4.1%4.1%3.8%3.8%3.9%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
3.8%3.8%3.8%3.9%3.8%3.9%3.8%3.5%3.7%3.8%3.4%3.3%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
3.3%3.4%3.4%3.3%3.2%3.3%3.1%3.2%2.9%3.1%3.2%2.8%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
2.8%2.7%2.5%2.7%2.7%2.5%2.6%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%2.5%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
2.5%2.5%2.6%2.4%2.4%2.5%2.5%2.7%2.5%2.6%2.3%2.5%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
2.5%2.4%2.5%2.4%2.3%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.3%2.0%2.1%2.1%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
2.1%2.3%2.2%2.1%2.0%2.3%2.2%2.1%2.0%2.0%2.2%2.1%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
2.4%2.2%2.0%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.2%2.1%2.0%2.1%2.0%1.9%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
2.0%1.9%2.5%8.4%7.4%6.9%6.7%5.3%4.7%4.2%4.2%3.8%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
4.0%3.8%3.7%3.5%3.2%3.5%3.1%2.8%2.5%2.4%2.3%2.1%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
2.3%2.2%2.0%2.0%2.0%2.1%2.0%1.9%1.8%1.9%2.0%1.9%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
2.0%2.0%2.0%1.9%2.1%2.0%2.0%2.2%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
2.1%2.2%2.1%2.2%2.1%2.4%2.3%2.5%2.3%2.5%2.5%2.4%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/245
2.3%        

Management, Professional & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
2.2%2.2%2.1%2.0%2.6%2.7%2.9%3.3%2.8%3.0%3.2%3.3%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
4.1%3.9%4.2%4.0%4.6%5.0%5.5%5.4%5.2%4.7%4.6%4.6%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
5.0%4.8%4.7%4.5%4.5%4.9%5.0%5.1%4.4%4.5%4.7%4.6%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
4.7%4.4%4.3%4.0%4.4%4.7%5.0%4.9%4.4%4.4%4.2%4.2%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
4.3%4.2%4.2%3.7%4.0%4.4%4.8%4.5%3.9%3.8%3.6%3.9%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
3.9%3.8%3.6%3.5%3.5%4.2%4.1%3.8%3.5%3.4%3.1%2.9%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
3.1%3.2%3.3%2.9%3.1%3.5%3.5%3.4%2.8%2.7%2.8%2.7%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
2.9%2.7%2.4%2.4%2.4%2.9%3.1%2.9%2.4%2.2%2.1%2.0%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
2.3%2.4%2.4%2.1%2.1%2.8%3.0%3.1%2.7%2.5%2.3%2.2%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
2.3%2.1%2.0%2.0%1.9%2.3%2.7%2.8%2.3%2.1%2.0%2.0%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
2.2%2.0%2.0%1.8%1.7%2.5%2.4%2.5%2.0%1.9%2.1%2.1%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
2.5%2.0%2.0%1.6%1.7%2.4%2.4%2.3%1.9%1.8%1.8%1.8%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
2.2%1.8%2.5%7.7%6.6%6.5%6.6%5.5%4.5%3.7%3.7%3.4%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
3.7%3.2%3.1%3.0%2.8%3.5%3.3%3.2%2.4%2.2%1.9%1.7%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
2.3%2.2%1.5%1.6%1.6%2.2%2.4%2.4%1.8%2.0%1.8%1.7%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
2.1%2.0%1.9%1.6%1.8%2.2%2.4%2.4%2.0%1.9%1.8%1.8%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
2.1%2.2%2.2%1.9%2.0%2.6%2.9%2.9%2.3%2.3%2.2%2.1%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
2.2%        

Or employed… (,000)

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
52,16552,49852,68152,81952,54452,73552,65552,62653,10453,48553,27452,548
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
52,35852,19652,34552,59752,25651,77651,81051,72452,18652,98152,26352,131
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
52,15952,32452,16352,35551,83951,41450,97450,87951,75751,81852,26351,704
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
51,86652,55753,24353,21652,77852,12051,66251,99752,66552,86452,78752,808
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
53,15253,20853,77154,05554,15653,84653,16553,69654,65555,22354,95154,635
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
54,21454,56354,72154,76754,74054,32354,06454,51555,01355,15555,58354,880
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
55,09655,50156,03655,89656,20255,71455,38155,64656,36556,75957,11056,888
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
57,36757,59657,80557,95358,15557,71057,39257,28858,10558,45658,66759,030
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
59,01459,58360,08059,69059,61359,18158,43458,52659,59959,76659,70760,069
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
59,92161,06461,15661,31761,17460,70559,92359,55960,99061,06261,81862,121
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
62,12362,90863,06762,56162,36061,34961,43361,59362,18162,92963,08463,642
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
63,81864,28164,29963,56063,59463,41863,39463,67964,34364,99765,54865,682
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
65,53366,09165,88161,15262,33063,29062,45163,09562,75963,27763,38764,007
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
63,88664,47164,50364,26464,26864,31664,17964,12265,16365,33566,06066,366
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
66,74067,75467,82367,31967,65267,22467,87468,37769,05668,91869.15669,297
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
69,24969,98670,65170,40370,38869,95669,66269,28070,41771,38771,35070,572
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
70,65070,21770,78670,54870.89771,00270,16769,89270,91671,55371,25871,042
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
71,547        

And unemployed… (,000)

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
1,1641,1591,1211,0881,4071,4781,5851,7791,5391,6471,7861,802
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
2,2382,1372,2922,1642,3732,7203,0342,9252,8592,5932,5302,509
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
2,7622,6372,6002,4642,4502,6442,6872,7622,3812,4172,5252,468
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
2,5572,4352,3812,1962,4192,5982,7422,6712,4502,4102,3362,303
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
2,4102,3362,3302,0622,2752,4722,6662,5562,2452,1702,0772,221
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
2,2112,1642,0201,9801,9902,3582,2862,1301,9781,9301,7491,637
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
1,7841,8451,8901,6421,7952,0012,0111,9301,6171,5821,6561,568
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
1,7411,6011,3981,4351,4601,7141,8071,6861,4141,3121,2761,208
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
1,4041,4561,4771,2511,3051,7121,7821,8691,6521,5061,3821,361
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
1,4251,3131,2651,2541,2081,4401,6561,7311,4631,2851,2661,290
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
1,3741,3011,3101,1341,0831,5751,5391,5911,2991,2461,3301,368
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
1,6071,3171,2891,0401,0861,5401,5911,4761,2351,1611,2081,171
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
1,4541,2071,6635,0794,4324,3904,4003,6802,9462,4482,4152,235
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
2,4332,1582,0632,0141,8792,3032,2032,1231,5801,4531,3081,146
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
1,5831,4901,0531,0881,0981,5201,6501,6471,2911,3981,2471,198
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
1,4601,4061,3681,1531,2811,6091,7011,7121,4661,4151,3011,314
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
1,5271,5801,5801,3991,4231,8872,0952,0561,6471,6891,5811,490
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
1,604        

For a total Management, Professional & Related workforce of…(,000)

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
53,32953,65753,80253,90753,95154,21354,24054,40554,64355,13255,06054,350
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
54,59654,33354,63754,76154,62954,49654,84454,64955,04555,57454,79354,640
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
54,92154,96154,76354,81954,28954,05853,66153,64154,13854,23554,78854,172
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
54,42354,99255,62455,41255,19754,71854,40454,66855,11555,27455,12355,111
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
55,56255,54456,10156,11756,43156,31855,83156,25256,90057,39357,02856,856
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
56,42556,72756,74156,74756,73056,68156,35056,64556,99157,08557,33256,517
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
56,88057,34657,92657,53857,99757,71557,39257,57657,98258,34158,76658,456
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
59,10859,19759,20359,38859,61559,42459,19958,97459,51959,76859,94360,238
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
60,41861,03961,55760,94160,91860,89360,21660,39561,25161,27261,08961,430
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
61,34662,37762,42162,57162,38262,14561,57961,29062,45362,34763,08463,411
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
63,49764,20964,37763,69563,44362,92462,97263,18463,48064,17564,41465,010
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
65,42565,59865,58864,60064,68064,95864,98565,15565,57866,15866,75666,853
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
66,98767,29867,54466,23166,76267,68066,85166,77565,70565,67565,80266,242
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
66,31966,62966,56666,27866,14766,61966,38266,24566,74366,78867,36867,512
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
68,32369,24468,87668,40768,75068,74469,52470,02470,34770,31670.40370,495
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
70,70971,39272,01971,55671,66971,56571,36370,99271,88372,80272,65171,886
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
72,17771,79772,36671,94772,32072,88972,26271,94872,56373,24272,83972,532
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
73,151        

Management, Business and Financial Operations – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
2.3%2.3%2.2%2.1%2.7%2.5%2.6%2.8%2.8%3.0%3.6%3.9%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
4.6%4.5%4.5%4.4%4.6%4.8%4.9%5.0%5.2%5.4%5.4%5.2%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
5.2%5.1%5.4%5.1%4.9%4.8%4.7%4.9%4.3%5.0%5.5%5.7%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
5.3%4.9%4.8%4.6%4.9%4.6%4.6%4.6%4.6%4.7%4.6%4.4%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
4.5%4.4%4.4%4.0%4.1%3.8%3.8%3.7%3.5%3.6%3.8%4.1%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
4.0%3.9%3.5%3.5%3.8%3.5%3.1%3.4%3.3%3.7%3.2%3.1%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
3.4%3.6%3.5%3.2%3.3%2.8%2.7%2.6%2.4%2.7%2.7%2.5%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
3.0%2.8%2.6%2.6%2.9%2.4%2.3%2.2%2.4%2.2%2.1%1.9%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
2.3%2.6%2.5%2.4%2.4%2.5%2.4%2.5%2.8%2.5%2.3%2.4%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
2.5%2.4%2.4%2.2%1.8%1.9%1.9%2.4%2.5%1.9%1.9%2.0%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
2.0%2.0%2.0%1.8%1.7%2.1%1.9%2.0%2.1%2.0%2.1%2.2%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
2.5%2.1%2.0%1.4%1.5%1.9%1.8%1.9%1.6%1.7%1.6%1.9%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
2.3%1.8%2.2%6.2%5.1%4.8%5.1%4.7%4.8%4.3%3.9%3.6%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
3.8%3.5%3.4%3.1%2.9%3.0%2.6%2.9%2.3%2.3%2.2%1.8%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
2.1%2.1%1.5%1.6%1.4%1.6%1.5%1.7%1.8%2.1%1.9%1.8%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
2.0%2.1%2.1%1.8%2.0%1.9%1.9%2.1%2.1%1.8%1.7%2.0%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
2.1%2.4%2.3%2.4%2.0%2.2%2.3%2.4%2.2%2.3%2.2%2.0%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
2.1%        

Professional & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
2.1%2.1%2.0%2.0%2.5%2.9%3.2%3.6%2.8%3.0%3.0%2.9%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
4.9%4.6%4.3%4.1%4.3%5.0%5.2%5.3%4.4%4.1%4.1%3.8%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
4.3%4.1%3.9%3.5%4.0%4.9%5.3%5.1%4.4%4.1%4.0%4.0%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
4.2%4.1%4.0%3.5%4.0%4.8%5.5%5.2%4.3%3.9%3.5%3.8%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
3.8%3.8%3.6%3.4%3.3%4.6%4.7%4.0%3.6%3.1%2.9%2.7%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
2.9%3.0%3.1%2.6%2.9%4.0%4.1%3.9%3.1%2.7%2.9%2.8%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
2.9%2.7%2.2%2.3%2.1%3.2%3.6%3.3%2.4%2.2%2.2%2.1%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
2.4%2.2%2.3%1.8%2.0%3.1%3.4%3.5%2.6%2.4%2.2%2.1%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
2.2%1.9%1.8%1.8%2.0%2.6%3.3%3.1%2.3%2.2%2.0%2.1%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
2.3%2.0%2.1%1.8%1.7%2.8%2.8%2.9%2.0%1.9%2.1%2.1%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
2.4%2.0%1.9%1.8%1.8%2.7%2.9%2.6%2.1%1.8%1.9%1.7%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
2.1%1.8%2.6%8.8%7.7%7.7%7.6%6.1%4.3%3.3%3.5%3.2%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
3.5%3.1%2.9%3.0%2.8%3.8%3.9%3.4%2.4%2.1%1.8%1.6%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
2.5%2.2%1.6%1.6%1.7%2.6%3.0%2.8%1.9%1.9%1.7%1.6%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
2.1%1.9%1.8%1.4%1.7%2.5%2.8%2.7%2.0%2.1%1.9%1.7%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
2.1%2.1%2.1%1.6%1.9%2.9%3.3%3.2%2.3%2.3%2.1%2.1%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
2.3%        

Sales & Related – Unemployment Rate

1/082/083/084/085/086/087/088/089/0810/0811/0812/08
5.2%5.2%4.8%4.3%5.1%5.6%6.2%6.3%5.7%6.1%6.5%7.0%
1/092/093/094/095/096/097/098/099/0910/0911/0912/09
7.7%8.4%8.9%8.6%8.9%9.1%8.3%8.7%8.9%9.5%9.1%8.9%
1/102/103/104/105/106/107/108/109/1010/1011/1012/10
10.1%10.2%9.7%9.2%9.6%9.4%10.1%9.0%9.4%9.1%8.8%8.3%
1/112/113/114/115/116/117/118/119/1110/1111/1112/11
9.3%9.0%8.5%8.5%9.4%9.7%9.4%8.6%9.4%8.2%7.8%7.7%
1/122/123/124/125/126/127/128/129/1210/1211/1212/12
8.2%7.9%8.1%7.6%7.9%8.4%8.3%8.6%7.9%7.0%7.3%7.0%
1/132/133/134/135/136/137/138/139/1310/1311/1312/13
8.5%8.2%7.7%6.9%7.1%6.7%6.9%7.2%7.5%7.3%7.0%6.3%
1/142/143/144/145/146/147/148/149/1410/1411/1412/14
7.1%7.7%6.8%5.8%6.8%6.1%6.2%5.6%5.4%5.2%5.3%5.0%
1/152/153/154/155/156/157/158/159/1510/1511/1512/15
5.8%5.2%5.8%5.5%5.8%5.6%5.8%5.4%5.6%5.3%5.1%4.3%
1/162/163/164/165/166/167/168/169/1610/1611/1612/16
5.0%4.4%4.4%5.2%5.1%4.9%4.9%4.8%5.2%4.4%4.6%4.6%
1/172/173/174/175/176/177/178/179/1710/1711/1712/17
5.2%4.3%3.9%4.2%4.5%4.8%4.2%4.2%3.7%4.0%4.1%3.8%
1/182/183/184/185/186/187/188/189/1810/1811/1812/18
4.6%4.5%4.5%4.1%4.2%4.4%4.0%3.5%4.0%3.6%3.7%3.6%
1/192/193/194/195/196/197/198/199/1910/1911/1912/19
4.5%5.0%4.6%3.9%3.6%3.4%3.2%3.8%3.6%3.4%3.3%3.3%
1/202/203/204/205/206/207/208/209/2010/2011/2012/20
4.5%4.2%4.3%17.1%16.2%13.3%10.9%8.6%8.9%7.0%6.3%5.3%
1/212/213/214/215/216/217/218/219/2110/2111/2112/21
6.6%6.6%6.3%6.3%6.4%6.0%6.0%5.5%5.2%4.5%4.2%3.6%
1/222/223/224/225/226/227/228/229/2210/2211/2212/22
4.2%3.6%4.3%4.1%4.2%4.1%4.1%4.0%3.8%3.4%3.3%3.4%
1/232/233/234/235/236/237/238/239/2310/2311/2312/23
4.4%4.0%3.7%3.0%4.0%4.0%3.7%3.9%4.1%3.9%3.7%4.4%
1/242/243/244/245/246/247/248/249/2410/2411/2412/24
4.5%4.7%4.7%3.6%3.8%4.5%4.6%4.6%4.5%3.9%4.2%4.1%
1/252/253/254/255/256/257/258/259/2510/2511/2512/25
4.9%